CHAOS WIN
F6 by ORDER
04/17/2026 · Match #4 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 4/29/2026, 8:58:34 PM
Kills
5 – 16
MVP · best KDA
Riptzer 0/1/13
Biggest Elo gain
Riptzer +11.0
Biggest Elo drop
Kryooo -12.8
Balance Analysis
Based on 83 prior matchesORDER
48% win prob
Δ 14
Balanced
CHAOS
52% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 4% Order / 96% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Jonhy0700
OVR
Bronze III
JUNGLE
Poo Poo III
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 103 · 64% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Obsidian II
JUNGLE
Platinum III
ADC
Kryooo
OVR
Bronze I
ADC
Bronze III
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 37 · 55% favored
ItzStallone
OVR
Silver I
ADC
Gold III PLACEMENT
MID
[CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420
OVR
Amber I
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 1 · 50% favored
DeltaJulz613
OVR
Amber II
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
OSteg
OVR
Bronze II
SOLO
Bronze III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 40 · 56% favored
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
SOLO
Dog Shit I
SUPPORT
GTboss94
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber I PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 59 · 58% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Silver I
SUPPORT
Gold II
ORDER (LOSS) 5 kills Team Δ -25.1
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 F6er | 4/4/1 | 1.25 | 19 | ▼ -2.2 | 16 | 79 | |
| ADC | Kryooo F6er | 0/3/0 | 0.00 | 28 | ▼ -12.8 | 15 | 43 | |
| MID SECONDARY | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 F6er | 1/2/2 | 1.50 | 11 | ▼ -2.1 | 9 | 16 | |
| SOLO THIRD | OSteg C F6er | 0/3/1 | 0.33 | 25 | ▼ -3.7 | 22 | 42 | |
| SUPPORT | GTboss94 F6er | 0/4/2 | 0.50 | -2 | ▼ -4.3 | -7 | 6 |
CHAOS (WIN) 16 kills Team Δ +28.8
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n TOP DMG STOMPER | 6/1/6 | 12.00 | 158 | ▲ +7.3 | 166 | 83 | |
| ADC | ItzStallone STOMPER | 5/0/4 | 9.00 | 54 | ▲ +5.6 | 60 | 22 | |
| MID | DeltaJulz613 C STOMPER | 4/2/6 | 5.00 | 9 | ▲ +3.0 | 12 | 20 | |
| SOLO SECONDARY | RogueThrone STOMPER | 1/1/2 | 3.00 | -126 | ▲ +1.9 | -124 | 49 | |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer MVP STOMPER | 0/1/13 | 13.00 | 53 | ▲ +11.0 | 64 | 50 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | Amber I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | DeltaJulz613 | Amber II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Kryooo | Bronze I | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | OSteg | Bronze II | Bronze III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Silver I | Gold II |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | GTboss94 | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | ROFFLE Tier |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | Bronze III | Amber I |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Obsidian II | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | ItzStallone | Silver I | Silver III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420: ORDER MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- Kryooo: ORDER ADC → ORDER MID
- Riptzer: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SUPPORT
- DeltaJulz613: CHAOS MID → ORDER ADC
- GTboss94: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Jonhy0700: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS MID
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- RogueThrone: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS ADC
- ItzStallone: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS SUPPORT