04/17/2026 · Match #3 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 4/29/2026, 8:50:57 PM
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 20:22
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2750664004?t=01h32m37s @ 5557s
Balance Analysis
Based on 82 prior matchesORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
Balanced
CHAOS
50% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Obsidian III
JUNGLE
Gold I
MISMATCH — Order
gap 61 · 59% favored
Kryooo
OVR
Bronze I
JUNGLE
Amber I
ADC
ItzStallone
OVR
Silver I
ADC
Gold III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Order
gap 95 · 63% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Bronze III
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MID
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
MID
ROFFLE Tier
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 65 · 59% favored
DeltaJulz613
OVR
Amber I
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
[CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420
OVR
Amber III
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 14 · 52% favored
SpideryBacchus9
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR
Silver I
SUPPORT
Gold II
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 14 · 52% favored
sillyslother
OVR
Gold I
SUPPORT
Platinum III
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +30.1
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n TOP DMG | Cernunnos | 15 | 0 | 3 | 144 | +14.3 | 158 | 82 |
| ADC SECONDARY | ItzStallone | Hou Yi | 3 | 3 | 4 | 52 | +1.8 | 54 | 21 |
| MID SECONDARY | RogueThrone | Agni | 4 | 3 | 7 | -129 | +2.7 | -126 | 48 |
| SOLO OFF-ROLE | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | Anubis | 2 | 1 | 9 | 2 | +9.3 | 11 | 15 |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer C | Sylvanus | 0 | 5 | 10 | 51 | +2.1 | 53 | 49 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -21.5
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Kryooo | Ratatoskr | 0 | 5 | 7 | 33 | -5.4 | 28 | 42 |
| ADC THIRD | Jonhy0700 | Anhur | 6 | 7 | 1 | 21 | -3.0 | 19 | 78 |
| MID | DeltaJulz613 | Nut | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | -3.8 | 9 | 19 |
| SOLO SECONDARY | SpideryBacchus9 | Osiris | 0 | 4 | 2 | -15 | -5.6 | -20 | 7 |
| SUPPORT | sillyslother C | Odin | 1 | 5 | 6 | 75 | -3.8 | 71 | 46 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | Amber III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | ROFFLE Tier |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | Bronze III | Amber I |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Obsidian III | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | sillyslother | Gold I | Platinum III |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | DeltaJulz613 | Amber I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | ItzStallone | Silver I | Gold III PLACEMENT |
| MID | SpideryBacchus9 | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Kryooo | Bronze I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Silver I | Gold II |
What changed vs actual draft
- [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420: ORDER SOLO → ORDER JUNGLE
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- RogueThrone: ORDER MID → ORDER ADC
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS ADC → ORDER MID
- sillyslother: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SUPPORT
- Riptzer: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS SUPPORT
- ItzStallone: ORDER ADC → CHAOS ADC
- SpideryBacchus9: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS MID
- Kryooo: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- DeltaJulz613: CHAOS MID → CHAOS JUNGLE