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ORDER WIN

04/28/2026 · Match #2 · Conquest

CONFIRMED Weak3n: WITH ⏱ 26:56 ▶ Watch VOD

Confirmed by Edgewing on 4/29/2026, 2:48:54 PM

Kills 4522
MVP · best KDA Boolougames 7/2/23
Biggest Elo gain Boolougames +11.9
Biggest Elo drop sillyslother -8.6

Balance Analysis

Based on 77 prior matches
ORDER
42
48% win prob
Δ 14
Balanced
CHAOS
56
52% win prob
48%
52%
Order win probChaos win prob

Calibrated model prediction: 94% Order / 6% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).

Lane Matchups

Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.

JUNGLE
LemTM
OVR Amber II PLACEMENT
JUNGLE Amber II PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order gap 17 · 52% favored
sillyslother
OVR Gold I
JUNGLE Poo Poo III
ADC
AlphaClaps
OVR Bronze I
ADC Bronze I PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Order gap 63 · 59% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR Bronze I
ADC Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Boolougames
OVR Diamond III
MID Diamond III
MISMATCH — Order gap 85 · 62% favored
Kryooo
OVR Bronze I
MID Bronze I PLACEMENT
SOLO
Tametoy
OVR Amber I PLACEMENT
SOLO Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN gap 4 · 51% favored
[CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420
OVR Amber III
SOLO Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR Silver I
SUPPORT Gold II
SLIGHT EDGE — Order gap 14 · 52% favored
Weak3n
OVR Diamond I
SUPPORT Silver I PLACEMENT

ORDER (WIN) 45 kills Team Δ +31.2

RolePlayerGodK/D/AKDA BeforeΔAfterGP
JUNGLE NEW LemTM 20/3/9 9.67 7 ▲ +8.4 15 1
ADC THIRD AlphaClaps 7/7/7 2.00 31 ▲ +1.9 32 27
MID Boolougames MVP C 7/2/23 15.00 111 ▲ +11.9 123 39
SOLO Tametoy TOP DMG 9/6/18 4.50 10 ▲ +4.0 14 8
SUPPORT Riptzer 2/4/16 4.50 52 ▲ +5.0 57 44

CHAOS (LOSS) 22 kills Team Δ -19.9

RolePlayerGodK/D/AKDA BeforeΔAfterGP
JUNGLE SECONDARY sillyslother 5/11/5 0.91 82 ▼ -8.6 73 44
ADC THIRD Jonhy0700 C 10/8/3 1.63 29 ▼ -2.2 26 73
MID OFF-ROLE Kryooo 3/10/6 0.90 31 ▼ -4.5 26 39
SOLO OFF-ROLE [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 4/7/8 1.71 3 ▼ -2.1 0 12
SUPPORT OFF-ROLE Weak3n 0/9/10 1.11 135 ▼ -2.5 133 77

Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers

Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split

ORDER
49
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
49
50% win prob

ORDER · optimal

RolePlayerOverallIn Role
JUNGLE Tametoy Amber I PLACEMENT Amber I PLACEMENT
ADC AlphaClaps Bronze I Bronze I PLACEMENT
MID Boolougames Diamond III Diamond III
SOLO LemTM Amber II PLACEMENT Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT sillyslother Gold I Platinum III

CHAOS · optimal

RolePlayerOverallIn Role
JUNGLE [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 Amber III Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC Kryooo Bronze I Bronze III
MID Jonhy0700 Bronze I Bronze III
SOLO Weak3n Diamond I Platinum II PLACEMENT
SUPPORT Riptzer Silver I Gold II

What changed vs actual draft

Notes / Flags