04/28/2026 · Match #1 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 4/29/2026, 2:32:22 PM
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 31:05
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2759493750?t=0h18m27s @ 1107s
Balance Analysis
Based on 76 prior matchesORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
Balanced
CHAOS
50% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
LemTM
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 9 · 51% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Silver III
JUNGLE
Poo Poo II
ADC
AlphaClaps
OVR
Bronze II
ADC
Bronze II PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 22 · 53% favored
leoorchild
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
[CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420
OVR
Poo Poo I
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 126 · 67% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Diamond III
MID
Diamond III
SOLO
Riptzer
OVR
Silver II
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 47 · 57% favored
Blhyss
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber I PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond II
SUPPORT
Silver II PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 48 · 57% favored
Kryooo
OVR
Bronze I
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +30.1
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | LemTM | Nemesis | 10 | 5 | 14 | 0 | +6.6 | 7 | 0 |
| ADC THIRD | AlphaClaps TOP DMG | Medusa | 16 | 8 | 17 | 25 | +5.7 | 31 | 26 |
| MID SECONDARY | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | Anubis | 14 | 8 | 12 | -2 | +4.6 | 3 | 11 |
| SOLO THIRD | Riptzer C | Thor | 3 | 4 | 14 | 45 | +6.7 | 52 | 43 |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | Weak3n | Ganesha | 0 | 8 | 27 | 129 | +6.6 | 135 | 76 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -21.6
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 | Pele | 10 | 12 | 5 | 39 | -10.2 | 29 | 72 |
| ADC NEW | leoorchild | Chiron | 8 | 10 | 8 | 5 | -4.1 | 0 | 1 |
| MID | Boolougames | Discordia | 6 | 5 | 18 | 114 | -2.9 | 111 | 38 |
| SOLO NEW | Blhyss | Achilles | 7 | 6 | 9 | 15 | -2.4 | 12 | 2 |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | Kryooo C | Cerberus | 2 | 10 | 23 | 33 | -2.0 | 31 | 38 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Blhyss | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | leoorchild | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Boolougames | Diamond III | Diamond III |
| SOLO | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | Poo Poo I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Silver III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | LemTM | rookie | |
| ADC | AlphaClaps | Bronze II | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| MID | Kryooo | Bronze I | Bronze I PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond II | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Silver II | Gold II |
What changed vs actual draft
- [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420: ORDER MID → ORDER SOLO
- Blhyss: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER JUNGLE
- leoorchild: CHAOS ADC → ORDER ADC
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER SUPPORT
- Boolougames: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID
- Weak3n: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS SOLO
- Riptzer: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS SUPPORT
- AlphaClaps: ORDER ADC → CHAOS ADC
- LemTM: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Kryooo: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS MID