ORDER WIN
04/28/2026 · Match #1 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 4/29/2026, 2:32:22 PM
Kills
43 – 33
MVP · best KDA
Boolougames 6/5/18
Biggest Elo gain
Riptzer +6.7
Biggest Elo drop
Jonhy0700 -10.2
Balance Analysis
Based on 76 prior matchesORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
Balanced
CHAOS
50% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 56% Order / 44% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
LemTM
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 9 · 51% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Silver III
JUNGLE
Poo Poo II
ADC
AlphaClaps
OVR
Bronze II
ADC
Bronze II PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 22 · 53% favored
leoorchild
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
[CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420
OVR
Poo Poo I
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 126 · 67% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Diamond III
MID
Diamond III
SOLO
Riptzer
OVR
Silver II
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 47 · 57% favored
Blhyss
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber I PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond II
SUPPORT
Silver II PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 48 · 57% favored
Kryooo
OVR
Bronze I
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) 43 kills Team Δ +30.1
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | LemTM | 10/5/14 | 4.80 | 0 | ▲ +6.6 | 7 | 0 | |
| ADC THIRD | AlphaClaps TOP DMG | 16/8/17 | 4.13 | 25 | ▲ +5.7 | 31 | 26 | |
| MID SECONDARY | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | 14/8/12 | 3.25 | -2 | ▲ +4.6 | 3 | 11 | |
| SOLO THIRD | Riptzer C | 3/4/14 | 4.25 | 45 | ▲ +6.7 | 52 | 43 | |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | Weak3n | 0/8/27 | 3.38 | 129 | ▲ +6.6 | 135 | 76 |
CHAOS (LOSS) 33 kills Team Δ -21.6
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 | 10/12/5 | 1.25 | 39 | ▼ -10.2 | 29 | 72 | |
| ADC NEW | leoorchild | 8/10/8 | 1.60 | 5 | ▼ -4.1 | 0 | 1 | |
| MID | Boolougames MVP | 6/5/18 | 4.80 | 114 | ▼ -2.9 | 111 | 38 | |
| SOLO NEW | Blhyss | 7/6/9 | 2.67 | 15 | ▼ -2.4 | 12 | 2 | |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | Kryooo C | 2/10/23 | 2.50 | 33 | ▼ -2.0 | 31 | 38 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Blhyss | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | leoorchild | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Boolougames | Diamond III | Diamond III |
| SOLO | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | Poo Poo I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Silver III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | LemTM | rookie | |
| ADC | AlphaClaps | Bronze II | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| MID | Kryooo | Bronze I | Bronze I PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond II | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Silver II | Gold II |
What changed vs actual draft
- [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420: ORDER MID → ORDER SOLO
- Blhyss: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER JUNGLE
- leoorchild: CHAOS ADC → ORDER ADC
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER SUPPORT
- Boolougames: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID
- Weak3n: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS SOLO
- Riptzer: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS SUPPORT
- AlphaClaps: ORDER ADC → CHAOS ADC
- LemTM: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Kryooo: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS MID