ORDER WIN
UPSET
03/31/2026 · Match #2 · Conquest
Confirmed by TTMara on 4/29/2026, 7:03:50 AM
Kills
50 – 52
MVP · best KDA
Weak3n 10/6/22
Biggest Elo gain
sillyslother +8.6
Biggest Elo drop
Riptzer -7.0
Balance Analysis
Based on 72 prior matchesORDER
46% win prob
Δ 27
Lean CHAOS
UPSET — underdog won
CHAOS
54% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 78% Order / 22% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Kryooo
OVR
Amber I
JUNGLE
Amber III
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 73 · 60% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond II
JUNGLE
Gold II
ADC
Tito
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 5 · 51% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Gold II
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
iRoFFLe
OVR
Poo Poo III
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 36 · 55% favored
Dest
OVR
Bronze III PLACEMENT
MID
Bronze III PLACEMENT
SOLO
KingSaber
OVR
Bronze II
SOLO
Bronze I
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 23 · 53% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Bronze I
SOLO
Amber II
SUPPORT
sillyslother
OVR
Gold III
SUPPORT
Gold II
MISMATCH — Order
gap 102 · 64% favored
Edgewing
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) 50 kills Team Δ +32.3
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Kryooo | 17/11/13 | 2.73 | 11 | ▲ +6.3 | 17 | 34 | |
| ADC NEW | Tito TOP DMG | 18/12/11 | 2.42 | -4 | ▲ +5.8 | 2 | 1 | |
| MID SECONDARY | iRoFFLe C | 5/10/18 | 2.30 | -12 | ▲ +5.0 | -7 | 14 | |
| SOLO | KingSaber | 8/9/16 | 2.67 | 23 | ▲ +6.5 | 30 | 13 | |
| SUPPORT | sillyslother | 2/10/26 | 2.80 | 64 | ▲ +8.6 | 72 | 41 |
CHAOS (LOSS) 52 kills Team Δ -21.0
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n MVP | 10/6/22 | 5.33 | 129 | ▼ -3.4 | 126 | 72 | |
| ADC THIRD | Riptzer | 3/15/19 | 1.47 | 70 | ▼ -7.0 | 63 | 39 | |
| MID | Dest | 23/13/12 | 2.69 | 21 | ▼ -6.3 | 15 | 5 | |
| SOLO THIRD | Jonhy0700 | 6/7/20 | 3.71 | 30 | ▼ -2.1 | 28 | 69 | |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | Edgewing C | 10/9/21 | 3.44 | -33 | ▼ -2.2 | -35 | 15 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Tito | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | iRoFFLe | Poo Poo III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | KingSaber | Bronze II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | sillyslother | Gold III | Gold II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Gold II | Gold I |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Dest | Bronze III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Edgewing | ROFFLE Tier | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Kryooo | Amber I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond II | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Bronze I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- sillyslother: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER SOLO
- iRoFFLe: ORDER MID → ORDER ADC
- KingSaber: ORDER SOLO → ORDER MID
- Tito: ORDER ADC → ORDER JUNGLE
- Riptzer: CHAOS ADC → ORDER SUPPORT
- Kryooo: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS MID
- Dest: CHAOS MID → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Edgewing: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS ADC
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS SUPPORT