03/31/2026 · Match #1 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by TTMara on 4/29/2026, 7:03:56 AM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · F6 by ORDER · Length: 14:36
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2736786295?t=0h32m32s @ 1952s
Balance Analysis
Based on 71 prior matchesORDER
48% win prob
Δ 15
Balanced
CHAOS
52% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
sillyslother
OVR
Gold II
JUNGLE
Poo Poo II
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 70 · 60% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond III
JUNGLE
Gold III
ADC
Kryooo
OVR
Amber I
ADC
Amber I
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 22 · 53% favored
JuiceMan28
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Dest
OVR
Bronze I PLACEMENT
MID
Bronze I PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 46 · 57% favored
iRoFFLe
OVR
Poo Poo III
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
KingSaber
OVR
Bronze I
SOLO
Silver III
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 37 · 55% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Bronze II
SOLO
Amber III
SUPPORT
Edgewing
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 104 · 64% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Gold III
SUPPORT
Gold II
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -27.4
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | sillyslother F6er | Thor | 7 | 1 | 5 | 67 | -3.4 | 64 | 40 |
| ADC | Kryooo TOP DMG F6er | Hou Yi | 7 | 1 | 3 | 15 | -3.9 | 11 | 33 |
| MID | Dest C F6er | Kali | 4 | 0 | 1 | 29 | -7.9 | 21 | 4 |
| SOLO | KingSaber F6er | Mordred | 5 | 2 | 3 | 34 | -11.0 | 23 | 12 |
| SUPPORT THIRD | Edgewing F6er | Ymir | 1 | 1 | 11 | -32 | -1.3 | -33 | 14 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +28.7
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n STOMPER | Geb | 2 | 4 | 1 | 120 | +9.4 | 129 | 71 |
| ADC NEW | JuiceMan28 STOMPER | Ullr | 1 | 4 | 0 | -6 | +3.6 | -2 | 2 |
| MID SECONDARY | iRoFFLe STOMPER | Hecate | 0 | 5 | 1 | -14 | +2.2 | -12 | 13 |
| SOLO THIRD | Jonhy0700 STOMPER | Bellona | 2 | 6 | 0 | 27 | +3.2 | 30 | 68 |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer C STOMPER | Ne Zha | 0 | 5 | 3 | 59 | +10.2 | 70 | 38 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 2
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Dest | Bronze I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Edgewing | ROFFLE Tier | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | Bronze II | Bronze III |
| SOLO | sillyslother | Gold II | Gold II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Gold III | Gold II |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | KingSaber | Bronze I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Kryooo | Amber I | Amber I |
| MID | JuiceMan28 | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond III | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | Poo Poo III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Dest: ORDER MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- Edgewing: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER ADC
- sillyslother: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER MID
- Riptzer: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SUPPORT
- Kryooo: ORDER ADC → CHAOS ADC
- KingSaber: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS JUNGLE
- JuiceMan28: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS MID
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- iRoFFLe: CHAOS MID → CHAOS SUPPORT
Notes / Flags
- iRoFFLe [weak3n_said]: I told you to go in, and you didnt even ult