ORDER WIN
04/27/2026 · Match #6 · Conquest
Confirmed by TTMara on 4/29/2026, 7:03:42 AM
Kills
50 – 39
MVP · best KDA
Riptzer 3/4/24
Biggest Elo gain
Riptzer +9.6
Biggest Elo drop
BiggieSlaps -5.5
Balance Analysis
Based on 70 prior matchesORDER
56% win prob
Δ 43
Lean ORDER
CHAOS
44% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 61% Order / 39% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
sillyslother
OVR
Gold III
JUNGLE
Poo Poo III
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 78 · 61% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond II
JUNGLE
Gold II
ADC
leoorchild
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 2 · 50% favored
[CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420
OVR
Amber III
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Boolougames
OVR
Platinum I
MID
Platinum I
MISMATCH — Order
gap 105 · 65% favored
DeltaJulz613
OVR
Bronze II
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Jonhy0700
OVR
Bronze II
SOLO
Amber III
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 13 · 52% favored
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR
Silver I
SUPPORT
Gold III
MISMATCH — Order
gap 62 · 59% favored
BiggieSlaps
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) 50 kills Team Δ +26.3
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | sillyslother | 13/7/14 | 3.86 | 63 | ▲ +4.2 | 67 | 39 | |
| ADC NEW | leoorchild | 20/7/7 | 3.86 | 0 | ▲ +4.6 | 5 | 0 | |
| MID | Boolougames C | 7/5/24 | 6.20 | 102 | ▲ +6.4 | 108 | 34 | |
| SOLO THIRD | Jonhy0700 | 7/16/11 | 1.13 | 25 | ▲ +1.6 | 27 | 67 | |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer MVP | 3/4/24 | 6.75 | 50 | ▲ +9.6 | 59 | 37 |
CHAOS (LOSS) 39 kills Team Δ -21.7
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n TOP DMG | 16/9/13 | 3.22 | 123 | ▼ -3.1 | 120 | 70 | |
| ADC SECONDARY | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | 11/9/10 | 2.33 | 2 | ▼ -4.3 | -2 | 10 | |
| MID | DeltaJulz613 C | 6/8/14 | 2.50 | 23 | ▼ -4.2 | 19 | 17 | |
| SOLO THIRD | RogueThrone | 4/15/11 | 1.00 | -121 | ▼ -4.6 | -126 | 44 | |
| SUPPORT NEW | BiggieSlaps | 2/9/11 | 1.44 | -3 | ▼ -5.5 | -8 | 1 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | leoorchild | rookie | |
| ADC | DeltaJulz613 | Bronze II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | BiggieSlaps | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond II | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Silver I | Gold III |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Boolougames | Platinum I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | Amber III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | Bronze II | Bronze III |
| SOLO | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | sillyslother | Gold III | Gold II |
What changed vs actual draft
- leoorchild: ORDER ADC → ORDER JUNGLE
- BiggieSlaps: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER MID
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- DeltaJulz613: CHAOS MID → ORDER ADC
- Jonhy0700: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS MID
- sillyslother: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Boolougames: ORDER MID → CHAOS JUNGLE
Notes / Flags
- BiggieSlaps [weak3n_said]: "you should have just followed us where you goin?"
- BiggieSlaps [shitter]: 0 map awareness - uncarriable
- RogueThrone [weak3n_said]: "you just walked at five of them"
- RogueThrone [weak3n_said]: "just dying to every gank cuz he has zero wards up"
- RogueThrone [shitter]: inting - uncarriable
- DeltaJulz613 [weak3n_said]: "You have been last to every rotation so far as the most aggressive god in the game"
- DeltaJulz613 [shitter]: bad build not doing enough - uncarriable