CHAOS WIN
04/27/2026 · Match #5 · Conquest
Confirmed by TTMara on 4/28/2026, 4:23:21 PM
Kills
19 – 37
MVP · best KDA
Weak3n 14/4/11
Biggest Elo gain
DeltaJulz613 +6.7
Biggest Elo drop
i cant read -7.0
Balance Analysis
Based on 69 prior matchesORDER
44% win prob
Δ 44
Lean CHAOS
CHAOS
56% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 27% Order / 73% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
sillyslother
OVR
Gold II
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 65 · 59% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond III
JUNGLE
Gold III
ADC
i cant read
OVR
Poo Poo I
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 7 · 51% favored
KingBopBop
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 168 · 72% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Platinum II
MID
Platinum I
SOLO
AlphaClaps
OVR
Bronze I
SOLO
Bronze III
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 21 · 53% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Bronze III
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR
Silver I
SUPPORT
Gold II
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 55 · 58% favored
DeltaJulz613
OVR
Bronze III
SUPPORT
Amber II PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) 19 kills Team Δ -26.2
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | sillyslother TOP DMG | 7/10/3 | 1.00 | 70 | ▼ -6.8 | 63 | 38 | |
| ADC | i cant read | 3/6/3 | 1.00 | -3 | ▼ -7.0 | -10 | 11 | |
| MID THIRD | RogueThrone | 8/5/7 | 3.00 | -119 | ▼ -2.3 | -121 | 43 | |
| SOLO | AlphaClaps C | 1/10/8 | 0.90 | 32 | ▼ -6.8 | 25 | 25 | |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | 0/6/9 | 1.50 | 53 | ▼ -3.3 | 50 | 36 |
CHAOS (WIN) 37 kills Team Δ +26.2
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n MVP | 14/4/11 | 6.25 | 117 | ▲ +5.9 | 123 | 69 | |
| ADC NEW | KingBopBop | 5/3/13 | 6.00 | 0 | ▲ +5.1 | 5 | 0 | |
| MID | Boolougames | 6/4/13 | 4.75 | 97 | ▲ +4.2 | 102 | 33 | |
| SOLO THIRD | Jonhy0700 C | 6/4/12 | 4.50 | 21 | ▲ +4.4 | 25 | 66 | |
| SUPPORT | DeltaJulz613 | 6/4/18 | 6.00 | 16 | ▲ +6.7 | 23 | 16 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | KingBopBop | rookie | |
| ADC | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | ROFFLE Tier |
| MID | Boolougames | Platinum II | Platinum I |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond III | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | sillyslother | Gold II | Gold II |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | DeltaJulz613 | Bronze III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | AlphaClaps | Bronze I | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | Bronze III | Bronze III |
| SOLO | i cant read | Poo Poo I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Silver I | Gold II |
What changed vs actual draft
- RogueThrone: ORDER MID → ORDER ADC
- sillyslother: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SUPPORT
- KingBopBop: CHAOS ADC → ORDER JUNGLE
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Boolougames: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID
- Riptzer: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS SUPPORT
- AlphaClaps: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS ADC
- i cant read: ORDER ADC → CHAOS SOLO
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS MID
- DeltaJulz613: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS JUNGLE
Notes / Flags
- i cant read [shitter]: 13k dmg in a 30 min game