ORDER WIN
04/27/2026 · Match #1 · Conquest
Confirmed by TTMara on 4/28/2026, 4:04:47 PM
Kills
34 – 24
MVP · best KDA
Weak3n 12/4/11
Biggest Elo gain
Weak3n +6.6
Biggest Elo drop
Jonhy0700 -4.5
Balance Analysis
Based on 65 prior matchesORDER
60% win prob
Δ 69
Lean ORDER
CHAOS
40% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 96% Order / 4% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Platinum II
JUNGLE
Silver I
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 59 · 58% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Bronze I
JUNGLE
Poo Poo II
ADC
ItzStallone
OVR
Silver III
ADC
Silver I PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Order
gap 60 · 59% favored
iRoFFLe
OVR
Amber III
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Boolougames
OVR
Platinum II
MID
Platinum II
MISMATCH — Order
gap 95 · 63% favored
TT
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
AlphaClaps
OVR
Bronze III
SOLO
Amber II
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 19 · 53% favored
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Jalopy
OVR
Bronze I
SUPPORT
Bronze III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 4 · 51% favored
DeltaJulz613
OVR
Amber I
SUPPORT
Bronze III PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) 34 kills Team Δ +24.1
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n MVP TOP DMG | 12/4/11 | 5.75 | 99 | ▲ +6.6 | 106 | 65 | |
| ADC SECONDARY | ItzStallone | 10/4/4 | 3.50 | 40 | ▲ +4.4 | 45 | 17 | |
| MID | Boolougames | 4/5/15 | 3.80 | 92 | ▲ +4.1 | 96 | 29 | |
| SOLO | AlphaClaps | 6/5/12 | 3.60 | 21 | ▲ +4.4 | 25 | 22 | |
| SUPPORT | Jalopy C | 2/6/16 | 3.00 | 33 | ▲ +4.5 | 38 | 10 |
CHAOS (LOSS) 24 kills Team Δ -15.3
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 | 8/8/4 | 1.50 | 35 | ▼ -4.5 | 30 | 63 | |
| ADC OFF-ROLE | iRoFFLe | 5/8/7 | 1.50 | 3 | ▼ -2.4 | 0 | 11 | |
| MID OFF-ROLE | TT C | 3/5/6 | 1.80 | -3 | ▼ -2.0 | -5 | 3 | |
| SOLO THIRD | RogueThrone | 2/8/4 | 0.75 | -110 | ▼ -4.4 | -114 | 39 | |
| SUPPORT | DeltaJulz613 | 6/5/10 | 3.20 | 14 | ▼ -2.0 | 12 | 13 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | iRoFFLe | Amber III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | ItzStallone | Silver III | Silver I PLACEMENT |
| MID | AlphaClaps | Bronze III | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Jalopy | Bronze I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Bronze I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | TT | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | ROFFLE Tier |
| MID | Boolougames | Platinum II | Platinum II |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Platinum II | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | DeltaJulz613 | Amber I | Bronze III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Jalopy: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER SOLO
- AlphaClaps: ORDER SOLO → ORDER MID
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER SUPPORT
- iRoFFLe: CHAOS ADC → ORDER JUNGLE
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- Boolougames: ORDER MID → CHAOS MID
- RogueThrone: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS ADC
- TT: CHAOS MID → CHAOS JUNGLE