04/26/2026 · Match #4 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 4/27/2026, 2:32:03 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 34:20
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2757986086?t=2h42m56s @ 9776s
Balance Analysis
Based on 63 prior matchesORDER
53% win prob
Δ 20
Balanced
CHAOS
47% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Platinum II
JUNGLE
Silver I
MISMATCH — Order
gap 62 · 59% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Silver III
JUNGLE
Poo Poo II
ADC
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 35 · 55% favored
OSteg
OVR
Amber I
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Dest
OVR
Bronze I PLACEMENT
MID
Bronze I PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 34 · 55% favored
Suhlayer
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
sillyslother
OVR
Gold II
SOLO
Gold II PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Order
gap 63 · 59% favored
Horrify
OVR
Dog Shit I
SOLO
Amber II
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR
Bronze I
SUPPORT
Silver II
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 34 · 55% favored
DeltaJulz613
OVR
Amber II
SUPPORT
Amber II PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -28.7
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Nemesis | 6 | 7 | 8 | 99 | -7.3 | 92 | 63 |
| ADC | RogueThrone | Hou Yi | 4 | 8 | 7 | -96 | -11.1 | -107 | 37 |
| MID | Dest C | Ganesha | 8 | 5 | 9 | 33 | -4.3 | 29 | 3 |
| SOLO THIRD | sillyslother | Achilles | 3 | 4 | 6 | 69 | -3.0 | 66 | 34 |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Athena | 1 | 3 | 10 | 31 | -3.0 | 29 | 31 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +31.7
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 | Hun Batz | 5 | 7 | 12 | 39 | +2.1 | 41 | 61 |
| ADC THIRD | OSteg TOP DMG | Cupid | 8 | 8 | 13 | 11 | +2.3 | 14 | 32 |
| MID NEW | Suhlayer C | Neith | 6 | 1 | 13 | -1 | +16.7 | 15 | 1 |
| SOLO | Horrify | Anubis | 4 | 3 | 7 | -18 | +3.5 | -14 | 23 |
| SUPPORT | DeltaJulz613 | Bacchus | 4 | 3 | 15 | 7 | +7.1 | 14 | 12 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Dest | Bronze I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | ROFFLE Tier |
| MID | Suhlayer | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Platinum II | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Bronze I | Silver II |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | OSteg | Amber I | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| ADC | DeltaJulz613 | Amber II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | sillyslother | Gold II | Silver III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Horrify | Dog Shit I | Amber II |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Silver III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Dest: ORDER MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Suhlayer: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID
- sillyslother: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS MID
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SUPPORT
- OSteg: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS JUNGLE
- DeltaJulz613: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS ADC