04/26/2026 · Match #1 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 4/27/2026, 2:36:09 PM
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 31:31
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2757986086?t=0h11m49s @ 709s
Balance Analysis
Based on 60 prior matchesORDER
39% win prob
Δ 80
CHAOS favored
UPSET — underdog won
CHAOS
61% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
will
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 59 · 58% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Platinum I
JUNGLE
Gold III
ADC
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 25 · 54% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Silver II
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Dest
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 4 · 51% favored
onetimemite5084
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Edgewing
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 61 · 59% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Platinum I
SOLO
Bronze I PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR
Bronze III
SUPPORT
Bronze I
EVEN
gap 8 · 51% favored
Jalopy
OVR
Silver III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Bronze II PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +36.8
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | will | Tsukuyomi | 9 | 5 | 7 | 0 | +4.2 | 4 | 0 |
| ADC | RogueThrone | Ishtar | 2 | 7 | 9 | -95 | +2.2 | -93 | 34 |
| MID NEW | Dest TOP DMG | Zeus | 13 | 2 | 11 | 4 | +15.6 | 19 | 1 |
| SOLO SECONDARY | Edgewing | Morgan Le Fay | 6 | 2 | 4 | -43 | +6.2 | -37 | 11 |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer C | Yemoja | 2 | 4 | 18 | 20 | +8.5 | 29 | 28 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -29.9
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Gilgamesh | 4 | 8 | 6 | 101 | -9.4 | 92 | 60 |
| ADC THIRD | Jonhy0700 C | Medusa | 5 | 9 | 2 | 43 | -6.8 | 36 | 58 |
| MID NEW | onetimemite5084 | Scylla | 4 | 5 | 8 | 0 | -5.0 | -5 | 0 |
| SOLO OFF-ROLE | Boolougames | Thor | 6 | 5 | 5 | 103 | -5.3 | 97 | 27 |
| SUPPORT | Jalopy | Sylvanus | 1 | 5 | 12 | 36 | -3.3 | 33 | 9 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Dest | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Edgewing | ROFFLE Tier | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | onetimemite5084 | rookie | |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Platinum I | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Silver II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Boolougames | Platinum I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | ROFFLE Tier |
| MID | will | rookie | |
| SOLO | Jalopy | Silver III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Bronze III | Bronze I |
What changed vs actual draft
- Dest: ORDER MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- Edgewing: ORDER SOLO → ORDER ADC
- onetimemite5084: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS ADC → ORDER SUPPORT
- will: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS MID
- RogueThrone: ORDER ADC → CHAOS ADC
- Riptzer: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Jalopy: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS SOLO
- Boolougames: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS JUNGLE
Notes / Flags
- onetimemite5084 [shitter]: bounced to many zeus bounces