ORDER WIN
UPSET
04/26/2026 · Match #1 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 4/27/2026, 2:36:09 PM
Balance Analysis
Based on 60 prior matchesORDER
39% win prob
Δ 80
CHAOS favored
UPSET — underdog won
CHAOS
61% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
will
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 59 · 58% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Platinum I
JUNGLE
Gold III
ADC
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 25 · 54% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Silver II
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Dest
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 4 · 51% favored
onetimemite5084
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Edgewing
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 61 · 59% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Platinum I
SOLO
Bronze I PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR
Bronze III
SUPPORT
Bronze I
EVEN
gap 8 · 51% favored
Jalopy
OVR
Silver III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Bronze II PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) 32 kills Team Δ +36.8
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | will | 9/5/7 | 3.20 | 0 | ▲ +4.2 | 4 | 0 | |
| ADC | RogueThrone | 2/7/9 | 1.57 | -95 | ▲ +2.2 | -93 | 34 | |
| MID NEW | Dest MVP TOP DMG | 13/2/11 | 12.00 | 4 | ▲ +15.6 | 19 | 1 | |
| SOLO SECONDARY | Edgewing | 6/2/4 | 5.00 | -43 | ▲ +6.2 | -37 | 11 | |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer C | 2/4/18 | 5.00 | 20 | ▲ +8.5 | 29 | 28 |
CHAOS (LOSS) 20 kills Team Δ -29.9
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 4/8/6 | 1.25 | 101 | ▼ -9.4 | 92 | 60 | |
| ADC THIRD | Jonhy0700 C | 5/9/2 | 0.78 | 43 | ▼ -6.8 | 36 | 58 | |
| MID NEW | onetimemite5084 | 4/5/8 | 2.40 | 0 | ▼ -5.0 | -5 | 0 | |
| SOLO OFF-ROLE | Boolougames | 6/5/5 | 2.20 | 103 | ▼ -5.3 | 97 | 27 | |
| SUPPORT | Jalopy | 1/5/12 | 2.60 | 36 | ▼ -3.3 | 33 | 9 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Dest | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Edgewing | ROFFLE Tier | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | onetimemite5084 | rookie | |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Platinum I | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Silver II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Boolougames | Platinum I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | ROFFLE Tier |
| MID | will | rookie | |
| SOLO | Jalopy | Silver III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Bronze III | Bronze I |
What changed vs actual draft
- Dest: ORDER MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- Edgewing: ORDER SOLO → ORDER ADC
- onetimemite5084: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS ADC → ORDER SUPPORT
- will: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS MID
- RogueThrone: ORDER ADC → CHAOS ADC
- Riptzer: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Jalopy: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS SOLO
- Boolougames: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS JUNGLE
Notes / Flags
- onetimemite5084 [shitter]: bounced to many zeus bounces