04/16/2026 · Match #6 · Conquest UNCONFIRMED
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: AGAINST
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2748270375?t=0h17m10s @ 1030s
Balance Analysis
Based on 3 prior matchesORDER
49% win prob
Δ 7
Balanced
CHAOS
51% win prob
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -69.2
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | Weak3n | Kali | 12 | 8 | 8 | -14 | -14.2 | -28 | 3 |
| SOLO NEW | Bibby | Morgan Le Fay | 3 | 11 | 10 | 0 | -12.4 | -12 | 0 |
| SUPPORT NEW | Riptzer | Geb | 3 | 6 | 12 | 0 | -14.2 | -14 | 0 |
| MID NEW | Jonhy0700 | Merlin | 5 | 5 | 10 | 4 | -14.8 | -11 | 2 |
| ADC NEW | OSteg | Artemis | 7 | 8 | 10 | 0 | -13.7 | -14 | 0 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +86.9
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MID NEW | Tricky | Nut | 5 | 8 | 15 | 22 | +14.2 | 36 | 3 |
| SUPPORT NEW | Grease. | Hercules | 3 | 9 | 12 | 0 | +13.0 | 13 | 0 |
| JUNGLE NEW | ItzStallone | Awilix | 10 | 3 | 19 | 0 | +23.5 | 23 | 0 |
| ADC NEW | it is that easy | Cernunnos | 19 | 3 | 7 | 0 | +22.6 | 23 | 0 |
| SOLO NEW | KingSaber | Cabrakan | 1 | 7 | 14 | 5 | +13.7 | 19 | 2 |
Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | -14 |
| SOLO | Bibby | rookie |
| SUPPORT | Grease. | rookie |
| MID | Tricky | 22 |
| ADC | it is that easy | rookie |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | ItzStallone | rookie |
| SOLO | KingSaber | 5 |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | rookie |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | 4 |
| ADC | OSteg | rookie |
What changed vs actual draft
- Grease.: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SUPPORT
- Tricky: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID
- it is that easy: CHAOS ADC → ORDER ADC