04/23/2026 · Match #6 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 4/25/2026, 12:33:46 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 43:02
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2755500139?t=3h48m12s @ 13692s
Balance Analysis
Based on 51 prior matchesORDER
53% win prob
Δ 24
Balanced
CHAOS
47% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
sillyslother
OVR
Gold I
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 62 · 59% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Platinum II
JUNGLE
Gold III
ADC
Stych 99
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber I PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 35 · 55% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Amber I
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Boolougames
OVR
Platinum III
MID
Platinum III
MISMATCH — Order
gap 96 · 64% favored
Radnor
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
OSteg
OVR
Amber I
SOLO
Bronze I PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 31 · 54% favored
Giftie
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR
Bronze I
SUPPORT
Silver II
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 46 · 57% favored
TheBugOnYou
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -23.4
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE THIRD | sillyslother | Hun Batz | 16 | 10 | 9 | 75 | -6.4 | 68 | 30 |
| ADC NEW | Stych 99 | Rama | 9 | 10 | 13 | 11 | -3.9 | 7 | 2 |
| MID | Boolougames | Janus | 5 | 3 | 17 | 89 | -2.4 | 87 | 22 |
| SOLO THIRD | OSteg | Cabrakan | 4 | 13 | 16 | 15 | -4.8 | 10 | 29 |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer C | Sylvanus | 3 | 10 | 18 | 28 | -6.1 | 22 | 23 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +32.0
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n TOP DMG | Agni | 18 | 11 | 12 | 96 | +4.1 | 100 | 51 |
| ADC THIRD | Jonhy0700 C | Ullr | 9 | 9 | 11 | 16 | +3.2 | 19 | 49 |
| MID SECONDARY | Radnor | Merlin | 4 | 5 | 16 | -10 | +5.6 | -4 | 4 |
| SOLO | Giftie | Cernunnos | 9 | 8 | 20 | 2 | +5.8 | 7 | 3 |
| SUPPORT NEW | TheBugOnYou | Yemoja | 6 | 4 | 23 | -3 | +13.3 | 10 | 1 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Boolougames | Platinum III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Radnor | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Stych 99 | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | sillyslother | Gold I | Gold II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | TheBugOnYou | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | OSteg | Amber I | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Giftie | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | Amber I | Amber I |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Platinum II | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Bronze I | Silver II |
What changed vs actual draft
- Stych 99: ORDER ADC → ORDER MID
- sillyslother: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Boolougames: ORDER MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- TheBugOnYou: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SUPPORT
- Radnor: CHAOS MID → ORDER ADC
- Riptzer: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS SUPPORT
- OSteg: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Giftie: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS ADC
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS MID