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04/24/2026 · Match #59 · Conquest UNCONFIRMED

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CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH

VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2755500139?t=3h48m12s @ 13692s

Balance Analysis

Based on 55 prior matches
ORDER
132
53% win prob
Δ 24
Balanced
CHAOS
108
47% win prob

ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -79.8

RolePlayerGodKDA Elo BeforeΔElo AfterGames
JUNGLE THIRD sillyslother Hun Batz 16 10 9 174 -12.9 161 34
SUPPORT Riptzer Sylvanus 3 10 18 152 -14.9 138 24
ADC NEW Stych 99 Rama 9 10 13 40 -15.1 25 2
MID Boolougames Janus 5 3 17 167 -22.8 144 23
SOLO OSteg Cabrakan 4 13 16 126 -14.1 112 29

CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +88.7

RolePlayerGodKDA Elo BeforeΔElo AfterGames
JUNGLE Weak3n Agni 18 11 12 307 +15.9 323 55
ADC Jonhy0700 Ullr 9 9 11 220 +15.1 235 52
SOLO NEW Giftie Cernunnos 9 8 20 25 +17.2 42 3
SUPPORT NEW TheBugOnYou Yemoja 6 4 23 -11 +22.7 11 1
MID NEW Radnor Merlin 4 5 16 -2 +17.8 16 4

Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%

Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split

ORDER
115
49% win prob
Δ 10
most balanced split
CHAOS
125
51% win prob

ORDER · optimal

RolePlayerElo
JUNGLE sillyslother 174
SUPPORT TheBugOnYou -11
ADC Jonhy0700 220
MID Boolougames 167
SOLO Giftie 25

CHAOS · optimal

RolePlayerElo
JUNGLE Weak3n 307
SUPPORT Riptzer 152
ADC Stych 99 40
MID Radnor -2
SOLO OSteg 126

What changed vs actual draft