04/24/2026 · Match #59 · Conquest UNCONFIRMED
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2755500139?t=3h48m12s @ 13692s
Balance Analysis
Based on 55 prior matchesORDER
53% win prob
Δ 24
Balanced
CHAOS
47% win prob
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -79.8
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE THIRD | sillyslother | Hun Batz | 16 | 10 | 9 | 174 | -12.9 | 161 | 34 |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Sylvanus | 3 | 10 | 18 | 152 | -14.9 | 138 | 24 |
| ADC NEW | Stych 99 | Rama | 9 | 10 | 13 | 40 | -15.1 | 25 | 2 |
| MID | Boolougames | Janus | 5 | 3 | 17 | 167 | -22.8 | 144 | 23 |
| SOLO | OSteg | Cabrakan | 4 | 13 | 16 | 126 | -14.1 | 112 | 29 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +88.7
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Agni | 18 | 11 | 12 | 307 | +15.9 | 323 | 55 |
| ADC | Jonhy0700 | Ullr | 9 | 9 | 11 | 220 | +15.1 | 235 | 52 |
| SOLO NEW | Giftie | Cernunnos | 9 | 8 | 20 | 25 | +17.2 | 42 | 3 |
| SUPPORT NEW | TheBugOnYou | Yemoja | 6 | 4 | 23 | -11 | +22.7 | 11 | 1 |
| MID NEW | Radnor | Merlin | 4 | 5 | 16 | -2 | +17.8 | 16 | 4 |
Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
49% win prob
Δ 10
most balanced split
CHAOS
51% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | sillyslother | 174 |
| SUPPORT | TheBugOnYou | -11 |
| ADC | Jonhy0700 | 220 |
| MID | Boolougames | 167 |
| SOLO | Giftie | 25 |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 307 |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | 152 |
| ADC | Stych 99 | 40 |
| MID | Radnor | -2 |
| SOLO | OSteg | 126 |
What changed vs actual draft
- TheBugOnYou: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SUPPORT
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS ADC → ORDER ADC
- Giftie: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SOLO