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04/23/2026 · Match #52 · Conquest UNCONFIRMED

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ORDER WIN · Weak3n: AGAINST

VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2742568833?t=2h55m15s @ 10515s

Balance Analysis

Based on 48 prior matches
ORDER
94
51% win prob
Δ 5
Balanced
CHAOS
89
49% win prob

ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +94.6

RolePlayerGodKDA Elo BeforeΔElo AfterGames
SUPPORT SECONDARY Riptzer Eset 2 6 18 63 +17.9 81 17
MID THIRD AlphaClaps Ra 12 8 13 82 +19.1 101 16
JUNGLE OFF-ROLE Jonhy0700 Hun Batz 12 10 15 212 +20.6 233 45
ADC NEW I'd Suck Weak3n's Toes For $3 Kali 8 5 10 -11 +16.7 6 1
SOLO OFF-ROLE OSteg Artio 4 7 14 126 +20.3 146 24

CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -64.5

RolePlayerGodKDA Elo BeforeΔElo AfterGames
SOLO OFF-ROLE Weak3n Aphrodite 6 4 14 291 -14.0 277 48
SUPPORT THIRD RogueThrone Merlin 9 10 17 6 -12.6 -6 32
MID OFF-ROLE Jigann Sylvanus 0 9 20 -17 -10.8 -27 11
JUNGLE THIRD sillyslother Hercules 13 8 13 165 -13.4 151 30
ADC NEW ItsPeas Cupid 7 7 5 0 -13.7 -14 0

Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%

Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split

ORDER
89
49% win prob
Δ 5
most balanced split
CHAOS
94
51% win prob

ORDER · optimal

RolePlayerElo
SUPPORT RogueThrone 6
MID Jigann -17
JUNGLE sillyslother 165
ADC ItsPeas rookie
SOLO Weak3n 291

CHAOS · optimal

RolePlayerElo
SUPPORT Riptzer 63
MID AlphaClaps 82
JUNGLE Jonhy0700 212
ADC I'd Suck Weak3n's Toes For $3 -11
SOLO OSteg 126

What changed vs actual draft