04/07/2026 · Match #2 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by TTMara on 4/25/2026, 2:06:04 PM
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 37:13
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2742568833?t=2h45m53s @ 9953s
Balance Analysis
Based on 44 prior matchesORDER
49% win prob
Δ 5
Balanced
CHAOS
51% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Jonhy0700
OVR
Amber I
JUNGLE
ROFFLE Tier
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 37 · 55% favored
sillyslother
OVR
Gold II
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
TT
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 0 · 50% favored
ItsPeas
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
AlphaClaps
OVR
Amber I
MID
Bronze III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 21 · 53% favored
Jigann
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
OSteg
OVR
Amber I
SOLO
Bronze III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 19 · 53% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Platinum II
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR
Amber III
SUPPORT
Amber I PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Order
gap 62 · 59% favored
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +30.4
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 | Hun Batz | 12 | 10 | 15 | 15 | +4.9 | 20 | 42 |
| ADC NEW | TT | Kali | 8 | 5 | 10 | -1 | +6.5 | 5 | 1 |
| MID OFF-ROLE | AlphaClaps | Ra | 12 | 8 | 13 | 13 | +5.7 | 19 | 16 |
| SOLO OFF-ROLE | OSteg | Artio | 4 | 7 | 14 | 14 | +5.3 | 19 | 24 |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer C | Eset | 2 | 6 | 18 | 1 | +8.1 | 9 | 16 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -17.7
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE THIRD | sillyslother | Hercules | 13 | 8 | 13 | 70 | -4.9 | 65 | 26 |
| ADC NEW | ItsPeas | Cupid | 7 | 7 | 5 | 0 | -4.5 | -5 | 0 |
| MID OFF-ROLE | Jigann C | Sylvanus | 0 | 9 | 20 | -8 | -4.0 | -12 | 7 |
| SOLO OFF-ROLE | Weak3n | Aphrodite | 6 | 4 | 14 | 95 | -1.5 | 93 | 44 |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | RogueThrone TOP DMG | Merlin | 9 | 10 | 17 | -89 | -2.7 | -92 | 29 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | AlphaClaps | Amber I | Bronze III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | ROFFLE Tier |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | Amber I | Bronze III |
| SOLO | sillyslother | Gold II | Gold II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jigann | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | OSteg | Amber I | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| ADC | ItsPeas | rookie | |
| MID | TT | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Platinum II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Amber III | Amber I PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Jonhy0700: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER MID
- AlphaClaps: ORDER MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- RogueThrone: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER ADC
- sillyslother: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Jigann: CHAOS MID → ORDER SUPPORT
- Riptzer: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS SUPPORT
- OSteg: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS JUNGLE
- TT: ORDER ADC → CHAOS MID
Notes / Flags
- ItsPeas [weak3n_said]: WHY KILL HIM WHAT ARE WE TALKING ABOUT
- ItsPeas [shitter]: Kept Autoing FG and Other Team Stole It