04/23/2026 · Match #45 · Conquest UNCONFIRMED
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2743365522?t=0h15m53s @ 953s
Balance Analysis
Based on 42 prior matchesORDER
46% win prob
Δ 30
Slight edge
CHAOS
54% win prob
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -52.1
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MID NEW | Edgewing | Thor | 4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | -11.7 | -9 | 4 |
| JUNGLE OFF-ROLE | Riptzer | Jing Wei | 3 | 5 | 9 | 82 | -9.1 | 72 | 15 |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | Boolougames | Agni | 4 | 6 | 5 | 92 | -10.3 | 81 | 11 |
| ADC NEW | Kekor | Mordred | 1 | 7 | 6 | 0 | -10.8 | -11 | 0 |
| SOLO NEW | djhouse | Jormungandr | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | -10.2 | -10 | 0 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +95.2
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADC SECONDARY | Weak3n | Pele | 16 | 5 | 8 | 188 | +16.2 | 204 | 42 |
| SUPPORT THIRD | Horrify | Sylvanus | 1 | 2 | 17 | 45 | +22.9 | 68 | 15 |
| JUNGLE NEW | ahsoka334 | Aphrodite | 8 | 2 | 14 | 0 | +21.1 | 21 | 0 |
| SOLO NEW | GulagCEO | Anhur | 3 | 2 | 12 | 0 | +17.5 | 18 | 0 |
| MID | OSteg | Cabrakan | 3 | 2 | 12 | 93 | +17.5 | 110 | 22 |
Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
49% win prob
Δ 6
most balanced split
CHAOS
51% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| MID | Edgewing | 3 |
| JUNGLE | ahsoka334 | rookie |
| SUPPORT | Horrify | 45 |
| ADC | Weak3n | 188 |
| SOLO | GulagCEO | rookie |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| MID | OSteg | 93 |
| JUNGLE | Riptzer | 82 |
| SUPPORT | Boolougames | 92 |
| ADC | Kekor | rookie |
| SOLO | djhouse | rookie |
What changed vs actual draft
- ahsoka334: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER JUNGLE
- Horrify: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SUPPORT
- Weak3n: CHAOS ADC → ORDER ADC
- GulagCEO: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SOLO