04/09/2026 · Match #1 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 4/24/2026, 9:41:17 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 34:38
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2744166370?t=0h18m33s @ 1113s
Balance Analysis
Based on 34 prior matchesORDER
47% win prob
Δ 20
Balanced
CHAOS
53% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Kryooo
OVR
Bronze I
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 27 · 54% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Silver I
JUNGLE
Bronze I
ADC
Quacker the 3rd
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 17 · 53% favored
Edgewing
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
DeltaJulz613
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 19 · 53% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Bronze III PLACEMENT
MID
Bronze III PLACEMENT
SOLO
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 5 · 51% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Poo Poo II
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Jigann
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 3 · 50% favored
Jalopy
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -20.0
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Kryooo | Ratatoskr | 4 | 7 | 20 | 31 | -3.9 | 27 | 18 |
| ADC NEW | Quacker the 3rd | Anhur | 12 | 10 | 11 | 0 | -2.7 | -3 | 0 |
| MID | DeltaJulz613 | Scylla | 7 | 7 | 12 | 7 | -4.8 | 3 | 7 |
| SOLO THIRD | RogueThrone | Hua Mulan | 12 | 16 | 7 | -88 | -5.6 | -93 | 24 |
| SUPPORT NEW | Jigann C | Achilles | 11 | 6 | 14 | 0 | -2.9 | -3 | 0 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +28.3
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Thor | 13 | 7 | 15 | 49 | +6.7 | 56 | 34 |
| ADC NEW | Edgewing | Hou Yi | 5 | 14 | 15 | -17 | +2.2 | -15 | 2 |
| MID | Boolougames | Agni | 11 | 6 | 16 | 20 | +7.5 | 28 | 7 |
| SOLO THIRD | Jonhy0700 C TOP DMG | Pele | 16 | 12 | 17 | -6 | +4.7 | -1 | 34 |
| SUPPORT | Jalopy | Bacchus | 1 | 7 | 21 | 3 | +7.2 | 11 | 4 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Quacker the 3rd | rookie | |
| ADC | Boolougames | Bronze III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Kryooo | Bronze I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Silver I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jigann | rookie | |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | DeltaJulz613 | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | ROFFLE Tier |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | Poo Poo II | Bronze III |
| SOLO | Edgewing | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jalopy | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Quacker the 3rd: ORDER ADC → ORDER JUNGLE
- Kryooo: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER MID
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Boolougames: CHAOS MID → ORDER ADC
- RogueThrone: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS ADC
- DeltaJulz613: ORDER MID → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Edgewing: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS SOLO
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS MID