04/16/2026 · Match #4 · Conquest UNCONFIRMED
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: AGAINST
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2749054198?t=1h47m53s @ 6473s
Balance Analysis
Based on 1 prior matchORDER
51% win prob
Δ 10
Balanced
CHAOS
49% win prob
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -66.2
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | Weak3n | Thanatos | 8 | 8 | 6 | 15 | -13.6 | 1 | 1 |
| ADC NEW | Tricky | Ishtar | 1 | 7 | 5 | 16 | -12.4 | 3 | 1 |
| SUPPORT NEW | sillyslother | Odin | 2 | 8 | 8 | -12 | -13.0 | -25 | 1 |
| SOLO NEW | KingSaber | Jormungandr | 5 | 5 | 5 | 19 | -14.0 | 5 | 1 |
| MID NEW | Jonhy0700 | Princess Bari | 2 | 7 | 8 | 0 | -13.2 | -13 | 0 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +97.3
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MID NEW | RogueThrone | Agni | 5 | 4 | 12 | 0 | +17.1 | 17 | 0 |
| SUPPORT NEW | Jigann | Cabrakan | 3 | 3 | 20 | 17 | +21.8 | 39 | 1 |
| ADC NEW | Vayu | Hou Yi | 10 | 2 | 11 | 0 | +24.7 | 25 | 0 |
| JUNGLE NEW | Kryooo | Pele | 12 | 6 | 6 | -14 | +15.4 | 1 | 1 |
| SOLO NEW | Shmeep | Gilgamesh | 5 | 4 | 16 | -14 | +18.4 | 4 | 1 |
Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 2
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 15 |
| ADC | Vayu | rookie |
| SUPPORT | Jigann | 17 |
| SOLO | Shmeep | -14 |
| MID | RogueThrone | rookie |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Kryooo | -14 |
| ADC | Tricky | 16 |
| SUPPORT | sillyslother | -12 |
| SOLO | KingSaber | 19 |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | rookie |
What changed vs actual draft
- Vayu: CHAOS ADC → ORDER ADC
- Jigann: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SUPPORT
- Shmeep: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SOLO
- RogueThrone: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID