04/12/2026 · Match #4 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by TTMara on 4/25/2026, 3:26:41 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 45:31
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2746720725?t=2h51m20s @ 10280s
Balance Analysis
Based on 32 prior matchesORDER
50% win prob
Δ 3
Balanced
CHAOS
50% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Silver I
JUNGLE
Silver III
MISMATCH — Order
gap 74 · 61% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Poo Poo III
JUNGLE
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 62 · 59% favored
Kryooo
OVR
Bronze II
ADC
Bronze II PLACEMENT
MID
ELLEONTTV
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 18 · 53% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Bronze III PLACEMENT
MID
Bronze III PLACEMENT
SOLO
AlphaClaps
OVR
Bronze II
SOLO
Amber I PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 27 · 54% favored
JohnRowing
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Midverified
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 5 · 51% favored
Horrify
OVR
Poo Poo III
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -26.8
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Kali | 11 | 6 | 17 | 55 | -2.8 | 52 | 32 |
| ADC | RogueThrone | Hou Yi | 11 | 14 | 6 | -74 | -10.0 | -84 | 22 |
| MID OFF-ROLE | ELLEONTTV C | Janus | 10 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -0.8 | 14 | 6 |
| SOLO SECONDARY | AlphaClaps | Chaac | 5 | 12 | 9 | 23 | -10.4 | 13 | 11 |
| SUPPORT NEW | Midverified | Scylla | 3 | 10 | 16 | 0 | -2.7 | -3 | 0 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +30.3
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 C | Awilix | 8 | 11 | 17 | -14 | +3.3 | -11 | 32 |
| ADC | Kryooo TOP DMG | Apollo | 20 | 10 | 9 | 26 | +4.8 | 31 | 17 |
| MID | Boolougames | Discordia | 9 | 5 | 17 | 18 | +7.7 | 26 | 5 |
| SOLO | JohnRowing | Morgan Le Fay | 7 | 5 | 15 | -14 | +7.2 | -7 | 3 |
| SUPPORT THIRD | Horrify | Sylvanus | 1 | 9 | 30 | -11 | +7.2 | -4 | 13 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | ELLEONTTV | Amber I PLACEMENT | Bronze III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | ROFFLE Tier |
| MID | AlphaClaps | Bronze II | Bronze III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Boolougames | Bronze III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | JohnRowing | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Midverified | rookie | |
| ADC | Horrify | Poo Poo III | Amber I PLACEMENT |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | Poo Poo III | Bronze III |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Silver I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Kryooo | Bronze II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- ELLEONTTV: ORDER MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- AlphaClaps: ORDER SOLO → ORDER MID
- Boolougames: CHAOS MID → ORDER SOLO
- JohnRowing: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SUPPORT
- Midverified: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS MID
- Kryooo: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Horrify: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS ADC
Notes / Flags
- Midverified [shitter]: Scylla Support Not meant for High Lobbies