04/23/2026 · Match #38 · Conquest UNCONFIRMED
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: AGAINST
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2746720725?t=2h57m26s @ 10646s
Balance Analysis
Based on 35 prior matchesORDER
49% win prob
Δ 8
Balanced
CHAOS
51% win prob
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -71.0
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADC THIRD | Weak3n | Kali | 11 | 6 | 17 | 135 | -14.4 | 120 | 35 |
| MID SECONDARY | RogueThrone | Hou Yi | 11 | 14 | 6 | -29 | -11.3 | -41 | 24 |
| JUNGLE | AlphaClaps | Chaac | 5 | 12 | 9 | 74 | -12.4 | 62 | 11 |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | ELLEONTTV | Janus | 10 | 3 | 13 | 60 | -19.5 | 40 | 6 |
| SOLO NEW | Midverified | Scylla | 3 | 10 | 16 | 0 | -13.4 | -13 | 0 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +81.0
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Kryooo | Apollo | 20 | 10 | 9 | 122 | +14.8 | 137 | 20 |
| SOLO | Horrify | Sylvanus | 1 | 9 | 30 | 43 | +15.6 | 58 | 13 |
| ADC | Jonhy0700 | Awilix | 8 | 11 | 17 | 127 | +13.9 | 141 | 34 |
| MID NEW | JohnRowing | Morgan Le Fay | 7 | 5 | 15 | -46 | +16.9 | -29 | 3 |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | Boolougames | Discordia | 9 | 5 | 17 | 34 | +19.8 | 54 | 5 |
Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| ADC | Jonhy0700 | 127 |
| MID | JohnRowing | -46 |
| JUNGLE | AlphaClaps | 74 |
| SUPPORT | ELLEONTTV | 60 |
| SOLO | Horrify | 43 |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| ADC | Weak3n | 135 |
| MID | RogueThrone | -29 |
| JUNGLE | Kryooo | 122 |
| SUPPORT | Boolougames | 34 |
| SOLO | Midverified | rookie |
What changed vs actual draft
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS ADC → ORDER ADC
- JohnRowing: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID
- Horrify: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SOLO
Notes / Flags
- Midverified [shitter]: Scylla Support Not meant for High Lobbies