ORDER WIN
UPSET
04/12/2026 · Match #2 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 4/24/2026, 9:47:38 PM
Kills
33 – 54
MVP · best KDA
Weak3n 9/3/19
Biggest Elo gain
Boolougames +15.3
Biggest Elo drop
Jonhy0700 -11.7
Balance Analysis
Based on 30 prior matchesORDER
46% win prob
Δ 27
Lean CHAOS
UPSET — underdog won
CHAOS
54% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
OSteg
OVR
Poo Poo I
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 18 · 53% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Amber II
JUNGLE
Dog Shit I
ADC
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 61 · 59% favored
AlphaClaps
OVR
Bronze III PLACEMENT
ADC
Bronze III PLACEMENT
MID
Boolougames
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
MID
Amber II PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 1 · 50% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Silver I
MID
Amber II PLACEMENT
SOLO
Tametoy
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 8 · 51% favored
Ceart
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
[CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Bronze III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 11 · 52% favored
Jalopy
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber II PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) 33 kills Team Δ +32.3
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE OFF-ROLE | OSteg | 5/12/7 | 1.00 | 0 | ▲ +3.0 | 3 | 17 | |
| ADC | RogueThrone C | 4/14/4 | 0.57 | -76 | ▲ +1.9 | -74 | 21 | |
| MID | Boolougames TOP DMG | 11/5/14 | 5.00 | 8 | ▲ +15.3 | 23 | 3 | |
| SOLO | Tametoy | 9/8/11 | 2.50 | -6 | ▲ +7.9 | 2 | 3 | |
| SUPPORT | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | 4/15/13 | 1.13 | 3 | ▲ +4.2 | 7 | 7 |
CHAOS (LOSS) 54 kills Team Δ -30.9
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 | 14/11/12 | 2.36 | 5 | ▼ -11.7 | -6 | 30 | |
| ADC THIRD | AlphaClaps | 24/4/12 | 9.00 | 21 | ▼ -1.5 | 20 | 9 | |
| MID THIRD | Weak3n MVP | 9/3/19 | 9.33 | 52 | ▼ -3.1 | 49 | 30 | |
| SOLO | Ceart | 2/10/19 | 2.10 | -20 | ▼ -11.5 | -32 | 4 | |
| SUPPORT | Jalopy C | 5/5/30 | 7.00 | 6 | ▼ -3.1 | 3 | 3 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Boolougames | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Jalopy | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | Amber II | Bronze III |
| SOLO | Ceart | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | Amber III PLACEMENT | Bronze III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Tametoy | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | ROFFLE Tier |
| MID | AlphaClaps | Bronze III PLACEMENT | Bronze III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Silver I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | OSteg | Poo Poo I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Boolougames: ORDER MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- Ceart: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SOLO
- Jalopy: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER ADC
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER MID
- Tametoy: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS JUNGLE
- RogueThrone: ORDER ADC → CHAOS ADC
- OSteg: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Weak3n: CHAOS MID → CHAOS SOLO
- AlphaClaps: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS MID
Notes / Flags
- Jalopy [shitter]: bad fg bomb