04/12/2026 · Match #36 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 4/24/2026, 9:47:38 PM
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2746720725?t=1h4m15s @ 3855s
Balance Analysis
Based on 33 prior matchesORDER
40% win prob
Δ 73
Slight edge
UPSET — underdog won
CHAOS
60% win prob
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +94.7
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADC | RogueThrone C | Jing Wei | 4 | 14 | 4 | -44 | +15.0 | -29 | 23 |
| SOLO NEW | Tametoy | Zeus | 9 | 8 | 11 | -57 | +17.0 | -40 | 3 |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | Ne Zha | 4 | 15 | 13 | 11 | +20.1 | 31 | 7 |
| MID NEW | Boolougames TOP DMG | Discordia | 11 | 5 | 14 | 28 | +22.8 | 51 | 3 |
| JUNGLE OFF-ROLE | OSteg | Gilgamesh | 5 | 12 | 7 | 56 | +19.8 | 76 | 17 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -95.7
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MID OFF-ROLE | Weak3n | Scylla | 9 | 3 | 19 | 135 | -20.4 | 114 | 33 |
| SUPPORT NEW | Jalopy C | Baron Samedi | 5 | 5 | 30 | 17 | -24.9 | -7 | 3 |
| ADC OFF-ROLE | AlphaClaps | Cupid | 24 | 4 | 12 | 78 | -20.0 | 58 | 9 |
| JUNGLE THIRD | Jonhy0700 | Kali | 14 | 11 | 12 | 156 | -14.0 | 142 | 32 |
| SOLO NEW | Ceart | Thor | 2 | 10 | 19 | -28 | -16.4 | -44 | 4 |
Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
51% win prob
Δ 10
most balanced split
CHAOS
49% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| ADC | RogueThrone | -44 |
| SOLO | Tametoy | -57 |
| SUPPORT | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | 11 |
| MID | Weak3n | 135 |
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 | 156 |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| ADC | AlphaClaps | 78 |
| SOLO | Ceart | -28 |
| SUPPORT | Jalopy | 17 |
| MID | Boolougames | 28 |
| JUNGLE | OSteg | 56 |
What changed vs actual draft
- Weak3n: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER JUNGLE
Notes / Flags
- Jalopy [shitter]: bad fg bomb