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04/23/2026 · Match #34 · Conquest UNCONFIRMED

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CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: AGAINST

VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2747490036?t=3h23m57s @ 12237s

Balance Analysis

Based on 31 prior matches
ORDER
63
53% win prob
Δ 19
Balanced
CHAOS
44
47% win prob

ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -73.8

RolePlayerGodKDA Elo BeforeΔElo AfterGames
ADC THIRD Weak3n Thor 10 8 6 132 -12.3 120 31
SOLO SECONDARY Tricky Anhur 8 7 8 88 -13.8 75 9
MID ItzStallone Nut 7 4 13 87 -19.4 67 11
JUNGLE OFF-ROLE SpideryBacchus9 Sylvanus 1 7 15 4 -11.3 -8 5
SUPPORT NEW Radnor Achilles 3 4 11 2 -17.1 -15 2

CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +95.9

RolePlayerGodKDA Elo BeforeΔElo AfterGames
SOLO SECONDARY Riptzer Ne Zha 0 7 17 -27 +17.0 -10 8
SUPPORT OFF-ROLE Kryooo Awilix 7 7 14 114 +22.0 136 18
JUNGLE NEW i cant read Hou Yi 9 3 8 -10 +20.4 10 3
MID NEW Spideydoo Pele 5 4 13 17 +18.6 35 3
ADC SECONDARY Jonhy0700 Agni 9 8 15 126 +17.9 144 30

Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%

Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split

ORDER
58
51% win prob
Δ 9
most balanced split
CHAOS
49
49% win prob

ORDER · optimal

RolePlayerElo
ADC Jonhy0700 126
SOLO Riptzer -27
MID ItzStallone 87
JUNGLE i cant read -10
SUPPORT Kryooo 114

CHAOS · optimal

RolePlayerElo
ADC Weak3n 132
SOLO Tricky 88
MID Spideydoo 17
JUNGLE SpideryBacchus9 4
SUPPORT Radnor 2

What changed vs actual draft