04/23/2026 · Match #32 · Conquest UNCONFIRMED
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2754713173?t=2h28m35s @ 8915s
Balance Analysis
Based on 29 prior matchesORDER
48% win prob
Δ 11
Balanced
CHAOS
52% win prob
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -56.0
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MID | ItzStallone | Merlin | 6 | 7 | 8 | 76 | -13.1 | 63 | 9 |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | Kryooo | Anhur | 6 | 7 | 5 | 93 | -9.3 | 84 | 16 |
| ADC SECONDARY | Horrify | Ymir | 3 | 12 | 8 | 53 | -10.7 | 43 | 12 |
| JUNGLE NEW | Anhedonia | Mordred | 5 | 6 | 5 | 0 | -12.7 | -13 | 0 |
| SOLO SECONDARY | OSteg | Cernunnos | 3 | 13 | 4 | 66 | -10.2 | 56 | 16 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +106.0
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADC THIRD | Weak3n | Anubis | 6 | 4 | 29 | 116 | +26.1 | 142 | 29 |
| SOLO OFF-ROLE | sillyslother | Bacchus | 7 | 5 | 26 | 68 | +25.6 | 94 | 20 |
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | AlphaClaps | Hun Batz | 5 | 5 | 16 | 53 | +17.5 | 70 | 6 |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | Hou Yi | 16 | 6 | 11 | 91 | +16.3 | 107 | 28 |
| SUPPORT NEW | Boolougames | Janus | 11 | 4 | 20 | 18 | +20.4 | 39 | 1 |
Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
49% win prob
Δ 5
most balanced split
CHAOS
51% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| MID | Jonhy0700 | 91 |
| SUPPORT | Kryooo | 93 |
| ADC | Horrify | 53 |
| JUNGLE | Anhedonia | rookie |
| SOLO | sillyslother | 68 |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| MID | ItzStallone | 76 |
| SUPPORT | Boolougames | 18 |
| ADC | Weak3n | 116 |
| JUNGLE | AlphaClaps | 53 |
| SOLO | OSteg | 66 |
What changed vs actual draft
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID
- sillyslother: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SOLO