04/22/2026 · Match #3 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 4/25/2026, 1:58:29 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 31:14
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2754713173?t=2h28m35s @ 8915s
Balance Analysis
Based on 26 prior matchesORDER
49% win prob
Δ 10
Balanced
CHAOS
51% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
OSteg
OVR
Amber II
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 35 · 55% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Silver I
JUNGLE
Bronze I
ADC
Kryooo
OVR
Bronze III
ADC
Bronze II PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 53 · 58% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Poo Poo III
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
ItzStallone
OVR
Bronze I PLACEMENT
MID
Bronze III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 15 · 52% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
MID
Amber II PLACEMENT
SOLO
Anhedonia
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 8 · 51% favored
AlphaClaps
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber II PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Horrify
OVR
Poo Poo II
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 23 · 53% favored
sillyslother
OVR
Silver III
SUPPORT
Bronze II
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -21.2
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE OFF-ROLE | OSteg | Cernunnos | 3 | 13 | 4 | 6 | -6.1 | 0 | 16 |
| ADC SECONDARY | Kryooo C | Anhur | 6 | 7 | 5 | 19 | -4.0 | 15 | 13 |
| MID | ItzStallone | Merlin | 6 | 7 | 8 | 34 | -3.3 | 31 | 9 |
| SOLO NEW | Anhedonia | Mordred | 5 | 6 | 5 | 0 | -1.9 | -2 | 0 |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | Horrify | Ymir | 3 | 12 | 8 | -5 | -5.9 | -11 | 12 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +29.2
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n TOP DMG | Anubis | 6 | 4 | 29 | 52 | +7.2 | 59 | 26 |
| ADC THIRD | Jonhy0700 C | Hou Yi | 16 | 6 | 11 | -10 | +4.1 | -6 | 26 |
| MID NEW | Boolougames | Janus | 11 | 4 | 20 | 5 | +6.6 | 12 | 1 |
| SOLO | AlphaClaps | Hun Batz | 5 | 5 | 16 | 16 | +4.1 | 20 | 6 |
| SUPPORT | sillyslother | Bacchus | 7 | 5 | 26 | 40 | +7.1 | 47 | 17 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Anhedonia | rookie | |
| ADC | sillyslother | Silver III | Silver II PLACEMENT |
| MID | AlphaClaps | Amber I PLACEMENT | Bronze III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Silver I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Kryooo | Bronze III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Boolougames | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Horrify | Poo Poo II | Amber I PLACEMENT |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | Poo Poo III | Amber I PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | OSteg | Amber II | Bronze III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | ItzStallone | Bronze I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Anhedonia: ORDER SOLO → ORDER JUNGLE
- Kryooo: ORDER ADC → ORDER SUPPORT
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- sillyslother: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER ADC
- AlphaClaps: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER MID
- OSteg: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- Horrify: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS ADC
- ItzStallone: ORDER MID → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS MID
- Boolougames: CHAOS MID → CHAOS JUNGLE