04/22/2026 · Match #1 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 4/24/2026, 10:15:38 PM
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 33:34
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2754713173?t=0h24m43s @ 1483s
Balance Analysis
Based on 25 prior matchesORDER
49% win prob
Δ 5
Balanced
CHAOS
51% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Jonhy0700
OVR
Poo Poo III
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 68 · 60% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Silver I
JUNGLE
Silver III
ADC
Kryooo
OVR
Amber I
ADC
Amber I PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 16 · 52% favored
Shmeep
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Boolougames
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 47 · 57% favored
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
KingSaber
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
SOLO
Bronze III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 17 · 52% favored
Horrify
OVR
Amber III
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Jalopy
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 28 · 54% favored
sillyslother
OVR
Silver II
SUPPORT
Bronze I PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +30.4
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | Jonhy0700 C | Hou Yi | 15 | 8 | 8 | -15 | +4.5 | -10 | 25 |
| ADC SECONDARY | Kryooo TOP DMG | Cernunnos | 12 | 5 | 9 | 13 | +6.5 | 19 | 12 |
| MID NEW | Boolougames | Kukulkan | 5 | 6 | 17 | 0 | +5.2 | 5 | 0 |
| SOLO | KingSaber | Mordred | 4 | 4 | 14 | 13 | +7.6 | 21 | 8 |
| SUPPORT NEW | Jalopy | Bacchus | 2 | 6 | 18 | 0 | +6.6 | 6 | 2 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -26.5
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Susano | 12 | 7 | 11 | 55 | -3.1 | 52 | 25 |
| ADC NEW | Shmeep | Chiron | 4 | 8 | 7 | 0 | -3.9 | -4 | 0 |
| MID THIRD | RogueThrone | Agni | 3 | 9 | 9 | -65 | -8.1 | -73 | 19 |
| SOLO | Horrify C | Thor | 6 | 8 | 6 | 1 | -6.8 | -5 | 11 |
| SUPPORT | sillyslother | Cerberus | 4 | 6 | 8 | 44 | -4.5 | 40 | 16 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 2
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jalopy | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | ROFFLE Tier |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | Poo Poo III | Amber I PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Horrify | Amber III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Kryooo | Amber I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Boolougames | rookie | |
| ADC | sillyslother | Silver II | Silver II PLACEMENT |
| MID | Shmeep | rookie | |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Silver I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | KingSaber | Amber I PLACEMENT | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Jalopy: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER JUNGLE
- Jonhy0700: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER MID
- Kryooo: ORDER ADC → ORDER SUPPORT
- RogueThrone: CHAOS MID → ORDER ADC
- Horrify: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SOLO
- Boolougames: ORDER MID → CHAOS JUNGLE
- KingSaber: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Shmeep: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS MID
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- sillyslother: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS ADC