04/22/2026 · Match #31 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 4/24/2026, 10:15:38 PM
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2754713173?t=0h24m43s @ 1483s
Balance Analysis
Based on 28 prior matchesORDER
48% win prob
Δ 16
Balanced
CHAOS
52% win prob
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +99.7
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SUPPORT NEW | Jalopy | Bacchus | 2 | 6 | 18 | 0 | +17.6 | 17 | 2 |
| ADC SECONDARY | Kryooo TOP DMG | Cernunnos | 12 | 5 | 9 | 70 | +22.9 | 93 | 15 |
| SOLO | KingSaber | Mordred | 4 | 4 | 14 | 38 | +19.7 | 58 | 10 |
| JUNGLE THIRD | Jonhy0700 C | Hou Yi | 15 | 8 | 8 | 70 | +21.2 | 91 | 27 |
| MID NEW | Boolougames | Kukulkan | 5 | 6 | 17 | 0 | +18.2 | 18 | 0 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -75.2
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Susano | 12 | 7 | 11 | 133 | -17.6 | 116 | 28 |
| MID SECONDARY | RogueThrone | Agni | 3 | 9 | 9 | -20 | -12.8 | -33 | 21 |
| SUPPORT | sillyslother | Cerberus | 4 | 6 | 8 | 83 | -15.3 | 68 | 19 |
| SOLO | Horrify C | Thor | 6 | 8 | 6 | 69 | -15.3 | 53 | 11 |
| ADC NEW | Shmeep | Chiron | 4 | 8 | 7 | -10 | -14.2 | -24 | 3 |
Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 2
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| SUPPORT | Jalopy | 0 |
| ADC | Kryooo | 70 |
| SOLO | KingSaber | 38 |
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 133 |
| MID | RogueThrone | -20 |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| SUPPORT | sillyslother | 83 |
| ADC | Shmeep | -10 |
| SOLO | Horrify | 69 |
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 | 70 |
| MID | Boolougames | rookie |
What changed vs actual draft
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER JUNGLE
- RogueThrone: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID