04/19/2026 · Match #5 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by TTMara on 4/25/2026, 7:01:42 PM
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 33:46
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2752364079?t=3h36m37s @ 12997s
Balance Analysis
Based on 24 prior matchesORDER
46% win prob
Δ 27
Lean CHAOS
UPSET — underdog won
CHAOS
54% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Silver II
JUNGLE
Bronze I
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 29 · 54% favored
Harden
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 45 · 56% favored
Rudolph67
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Jonhy0700
OVR
Dog Shit I
MID
Amber II PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 4 · 51% favored
Tricky
OVR
Bronze II PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Riptzer
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 7 · 51% favored
Horrify
OVR
Amber II
SOLO
Amber II PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
[CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber I PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 22 · 53% favored
sillyslother
OVR
Silver I
SUPPORT
Bronze I PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +32.3
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Mercury | 20 | 5 | 10 | 47 | +8.5 | 55 | 24 |
| ADC | RogueThrone TOP DMG | Nu Wa | 12 | 7 | 16 | -70 | +5.3 | -65 | 18 |
| MID SECONDARY | Jonhy0700 C | Janus | 4 | 6 | 19 | -20 | +4.9 | -15 | 24 |
| SOLO OFF-ROLE | Riptzer | Gilgamesh | 3 | 5 | 20 | -17 | +7.2 | -10 | 7 |
| SUPPORT | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | Aphrodite | 3 | 7 | 22 | -1 | +6.4 | 5 | 5 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -27.7
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | Harden | Achilles | 8 | 5 | 10 | -7 | -1.4 | -8 | 1 |
| ADC NEW | Rudolph67 | Danzaburou | 4 | 9 | 12 | 0 | -3.2 | -3 | 0 |
| MID SECONDARY | Tricky | Princess Bari | 3 | 12 | 7 | 25 | -12.7 | 12 | 5 |
| SOLO | Horrify | Osiris | 11 | 7 | 4 | 7 | -5.2 | 1 | 10 |
| SUPPORT | sillyslother C | Yemoja | 4 | 9 | 11 | 49 | -5.1 | 44 | 15 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Harden | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | ROFFLE Tier |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | Dog Shit I | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | sillyslother | Silver I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber I PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Tricky | Bronze II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Horrify | Amber II | Amber I PLACEMENT |
| MID | Rudolph67 | rookie | |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Silver II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Harden: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER JUNGLE
- sillyslother: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SOLO
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- Riptzer: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Rudolph67: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS MID
- Horrify: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS ADC
- Tricky: CHAOS MID → CHAOS JUNGLE