Kurt SMITE Tracker
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04/21/2026 · Match #30 · Conquest UNCONFIRMED

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ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH

VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2752364079?t=3h40m32s @ 13232s

Balance Analysis

Based on 27 prior matches
ORDER
11
44% win prob
Δ 42
Slight edge UPSET — underdog won
CHAOS
53
56% win prob

ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +121.4

RolePlayerGodKDA Elo BeforeΔElo AfterGames
SUPPORT SECONDARY Weak3n Mercury 20 5 10 108 +25.0 133 27
MID THIRD RogueThrone Nu Wa 12 7 16 -43 +23.1 -20 20
SOLO OFF-ROLE Riptzer Gilgamesh 3 5 20 -55 +27.4 -27 7
JUNGLE OFF-ROLE [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 Aphrodite 3 7 22 -4 +25.0 21 5
ADC SECONDARY Jonhy0700 Janus 4 6 19 49 +20.9 70 26

CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -71.7

RolePlayerGodKDA Elo BeforeΔElo AfterGames
JUNGLE OFF-ROLE Tricky Princess Bari 3 12 7 99 -10.3 88 8
MID THIRD sillyslother Yemoja 4 9 11 96 -12.7 83 18
ADC SECONDARY Horrify Osiris 11 7 4 83 -14.6 69 10
SUPPORT NEW Harden Achilles 8 5 10 -13 -18.6 -32 1
SOLO NEW Rudolph67 Danzaburou 4 9 12 0 -15.5 -15 0

Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%

Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split

ORDER
33
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
32
50% win prob

ORDER · optimal

RolePlayerElo
SUPPORT Harden -13
MID sillyslother 96
SOLO Rudolph67 rookie
JUNGLE [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 -4
ADC Horrify 83

CHAOS · optimal

RolePlayerElo
SUPPORT Weak3n 108
MID RogueThrone -43
SOLO Riptzer -55
JUNGLE Tricky 99
ADC Jonhy0700 49

What changed vs actual draft