04/21/2026 · Match #29 · Conquest UNCONFIRMED
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2752364079?t=2h50m19s @ 10219s
Balance Analysis
Based on 26 prior matchesORDER
55% win prob
Δ 37
Slight edge
CHAOS
45% win prob
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +79.4
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | Weak3n | Tsukuyomi | 11 | 8 | 16 | 92 | +16.2 | 108 | 26 |
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | sillyslother | Sylvanus | 1 | 11 | 16 | 83 | +13.4 | 96 | 17 |
| ADC SECONDARY | Horrify | Anubis | 21 | 8 | 8 | 67 | +16.6 | 83 | 9 |
| MID NEW | Mid | Apollo | 4 | 5 | 15 | -30 | +15.3 | -15 | 2 |
| SOLO THIRD | OSteg | Nut | 2 | 6 | 19 | 48 | +17.9 | 66 | 15 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -62.2
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SUPPORT THIRD | RogueThrone | Anhur | 9 | 5 | 8 | -31 | -12.3 | -43 | 19 |
| MID OFF-ROLE | Riptzer | Ne Zha | 4 | 7 | 19 | -44 | -10.8 | -55 | 6 |
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | ItzStallone | Morgan Le Fay | 11 | 5 | 11 | 91 | -14.7 | 76 | 8 |
| ADC SECONDARY | Jonhy0700 | Awilix | 6 | 12 | 15 | 60 | -11.3 | 49 | 25 |
| SOLO NEW | Harden | Hercules | 8 | 10 | 14 | 0 | -13.1 | -13 | 0 |
Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
51% win prob
Δ 9
most balanced split
CHAOS
49% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| SUPPORT | Weak3n | 92 |
| JUNGLE | sillyslother | 83 |
| ADC | Jonhy0700 | 60 |
| MID | Riptzer | -44 |
| SOLO | Harden | rookie |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| SUPPORT | RogueThrone | -31 |
| JUNGLE | ItzStallone | 91 |
| ADC | Horrify | 67 |
| MID | Mid | -30 |
| SOLO | OSteg | 48 |
What changed vs actual draft
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS ADC → ORDER ADC
- Riptzer: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID
- Harden: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SOLO