04/19/2026 · Match #4 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by TTMara on 4/25/2026, 7:08:41 PM
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 35:07
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2752364079?t=2h47m48s @ 10068s
Balance Analysis
Based on 23 prior matchesORDER
54% win prob
Δ 27
Lean ORDER
CHAOS
46% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Silver III
JUNGLE
Bronze II
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 44 · 56% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Poo Poo III
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Imdead
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 37 · 55% favored
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MID
OSteg
OVR
Amber III
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 55 · 58% favored
ItzStallone
OVR
Silver III PLACEMENT
MID
Bronze II PLACEMENT
SOLO
Horrify
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 1 · 50% favored
Harden
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
sillyslother
OVR
Silver II
SUPPORT
Bronze I PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 38 · 56% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +27.7
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Tsukuyomi | 11 | 8 | 16 | 41 | +6.0 | 47 | 23 |
| ADC NEW | Imdead | Apollo | 4 | 5 | 15 | -6 | +6.1 | 0 | 2 |
| MID | OSteg C | Nut | 2 | 6 | 19 | 0 | +5.8 | 6 | 15 |
| SOLO | Horrify TOP DMG | Anubis | 21 | 8 | 8 | 1 | +6.0 | 7 | 9 |
| SUPPORT | sillyslother | Sylvanus | 1 | 11 | 16 | 46 | +3.8 | 49 | 14 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -27.7
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | Jonhy0700 | Awilix | 6 | 12 | 15 | -10 | -9.3 | -20 | 23 |
| ADC | RogueThrone | Anhur | 9 | 5 | 8 | -66 | -4.5 | -70 | 17 |
| MID | ItzStallone | Morgan Le Fay | 11 | 5 | 11 | 38 | -3.5 | 34 | 8 |
| SOLO NEW | Harden | Hercules | 8 | 10 | 14 | 0 | -6.7 | -7 | 0 |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer C | Ne Zha | 4 | 7 | 19 | -13 | -3.7 | -17 | 6 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Imdead | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | ROFFLE Tier |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | Poo Poo III | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | sillyslother | Silver II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Horrify | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Riptzer | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | ItzStallone | Silver III PLACEMENT | Silver II PLACEMENT |
| MID | Harden | rookie | |
| SOLO | OSteg | Amber III | Bronze III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Weak3n | Silver III | Silver II PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Imdead: ORDER ADC → ORDER JUNGLE
- sillyslother: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER SOLO
- Horrify: ORDER SOLO → ORDER SUPPORT
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER MID
- RogueThrone: CHAOS ADC → ORDER ADC
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS SUPPORT
- OSteg: ORDER MID → CHAOS SOLO
- Harden: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS MID
- Riptzer: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS JUNGLE
- ItzStallone: CHAOS MID → CHAOS ADC