04/21/2026 · Match #28 · Conquest UNCONFIRMED
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: AGAINST
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2752364079?t=1h55m55s @ 6955s
Balance Analysis
Based on 25 prior matchesORDER
51% win prob
Δ 5
Balanced
CHAOS
49% win prob
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -57.7
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADC THIRD | Weak3n | Nemesis | 17 | 14 | 13 | 105 | -12.4 | 92 | 25 |
| SUPPORT THIRD | RogueThrone | Cupid | 7 | 17 | 15 | -19 | -11.3 | -31 | 18 |
| SOLO OFF-ROLE | Riptzer | Cerberus | 4 | 13 | 17 | -33 | -10.4 | -44 | 5 |
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | ItzStallone | Zeus | 9 | 11 | 10 | 104 | -12.9 | 91 | 7 |
| MID OFF-ROLE | AlphaClaps | Hun Batz | 9 | 12 | 13 | 64 | -10.7 | 53 | 5 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +104.6
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | sillyslother | Fenrir | 4 | 11 | 28 | 65 | +17.8 | 83 | 16 |
| MID SECONDARY | Grease. | Charon | 7 | 8 | 26 | 47 | +20.0 | 67 | 5 |
| SOLO THIRD | Kryooo | Hou Yi | 20 | 9 | 20 | 48 | +22.4 | 70 | 14 |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | Jonhy0700 | Thanatos | 25 | 11 | 19 | 36 | +24.3 | 60 | 24 |
| ADC NEW | Abductz | Agni | 11 | 7 | 26 | 0 | +20.1 | 20 | 0 |
Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 2
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| ADC | Weak3n | 105 |
| SUPPORT | RogueThrone | -19 |
| SOLO | Riptzer | -33 |
| JUNGLE | ItzStallone | 104 |
| MID | Grease. | 47 |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| ADC | Abductz | rookie |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | 36 |
| SOLO | Kryooo | 48 |
| JUNGLE | sillyslother | 65 |
| MID | AlphaClaps | 64 |
What changed vs actual draft
- Grease.: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID
Notes / Flags
- RogueThrone [shitter]: Flagged as shitter