04/19/2026 · Match #3 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by TTMara on 4/25/2026, 7:11:46 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 45:07
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2752364079?t=1h55m55s @ 6955s
Balance Analysis
Based on 22 prior matchesORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
Balanced
CHAOS
50% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Silver II
JUNGLE
Bronze II
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 54 · 58% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Dog Shit I
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 41 · 56% favored
Kryooo
OVR
Amber II
ADC
Amber II PLACEMENT
MID
ItzStallone
OVR
Silver II PLACEMENT
MID
Bronze I PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 29 · 54% favored
Abductz
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
AlphaClaps
OVR
Bronze III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber I PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 3 · 50% favored
Grease.
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber I PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 28 · 54% favored
sillyslother
OVR
Silver III
SUPPORT
Bronze II PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -30.1
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Nemesis | 17 | 14 | 13 | 46 | -4.8 | 41 | 22 |
| ADC | RogueThrone | Cupid | 7 | 17 | 15 | -57 | -8.6 | -66 | 16 |
| MID | ItzStallone | Zeus | 9 | 11 | 10 | 44 | -6.0 | 38 | 7 |
| SOLO | AlphaClaps C | Hun Batz | 9 | 12 | 13 | 21 | -5.5 | 16 | 5 |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Cerberus | 4 | 13 | 17 | -8 | -5.1 | -13 | 5 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +30.1
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | Jonhy0700 | Thanatos | 25 | 11 | 19 | -16 | +5.6 | -10 | 22 |
| ADC SECONDARY | Kryooo TOP DMG | Hou Yi | 20 | 9 | 20 | 7 | +6.1 | 13 | 11 |
| MID NEW | Abductz | Agni | 11 | 7 | 26 | 0 | +6.9 | 7 | 0 |
| SOLO | Grease. | Charon | 7 | 8 | 26 | 11 | +6.3 | 17 | 5 |
| SUPPORT | sillyslother C | Fenrir | 4 | 11 | 28 | 40 | +5.2 | 46 | 13 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Abductz | rookie | |
| ADC | Grease. | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | Dog Shit I | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Silver II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | ItzStallone | Silver II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | AlphaClaps | Bronze III PLACEMENT | Amber I PLACEMENT |
| ADC | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | ROFFLE Tier |
| MID | Kryooo | Amber II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | sillyslother | Silver III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- ItzStallone: ORDER MID → ORDER SUPPORT
- Grease.: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER ADC
- Abductz: CHAOS MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER MID
- RogueThrone: ORDER ADC → CHAOS ADC
- Riptzer: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS SUPPORT
- AlphaClaps: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS JUNGLE
- sillyslother: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS SOLO
- Kryooo: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS MID
Notes / Flags
- RogueThrone [shitter]: Flagged as shitter