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04/21/2026 · Match #28 · Conquest UNCONFIRMED

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CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: AGAINST

VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2752364079?t=1h55m55s @ 6955s

Balance Analysis

Based on 25 prior matches
ORDER
44
51% win prob
Δ 5
Balanced
CHAOS
39
49% win prob

ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -57.7

RolePlayerGodKDA Elo BeforeΔElo AfterGames
ADC THIRD Weak3n Nemesis 17 14 13 105 -12.4 92 25
SUPPORT THIRD RogueThrone Cupid 7 17 15 -19 -11.3 -31 18
SOLO OFF-ROLE Riptzer Cerberus 4 13 17 -33 -10.4 -44 5
JUNGLE SECONDARY ItzStallone Zeus 9 11 10 104 -12.9 91 7
MID OFF-ROLE AlphaClaps Hun Batz 9 12 13 64 -10.7 53 5

CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +104.6

RolePlayerGodKDA Elo BeforeΔElo AfterGames
JUNGLE SECONDARY sillyslother Fenrir 4 11 28 65 +17.8 83 16
MID SECONDARY Grease. Charon 7 8 26 47 +20.0 67 5
SOLO THIRD Kryooo Hou Yi 20 9 20 48 +22.4 70 14
SUPPORT OFF-ROLE Jonhy0700 Thanatos 25 11 19 36 +24.3 60 24
ADC NEW Abductz Agni 11 7 26 0 +20.1 20 0

Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%

Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split

ORDER
41
50% win prob
Δ 2
most balanced split
CHAOS
42
50% win prob

ORDER · optimal

RolePlayerElo
ADC Weak3n 105
SUPPORT RogueThrone -19
SOLO Riptzer -33
JUNGLE ItzStallone 104
MID Grease. 47

CHAOS · optimal

RolePlayerElo
ADC Abductz rookie
SUPPORT Jonhy0700 36
SOLO Kryooo 48
JUNGLE sillyslother 65
MID AlphaClaps 64

What changed vs actual draft

Notes / Flags