ORDER WIN
08/12/2026 · Match #3 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 8/14/2026, 4:08:04 PM
Kills
39 – 27
MVP · best KDA
Kryooo 7/4/15
Biggest Elo gain
Weak3n +5.8
Biggest Elo drop
iRoFFLe -6.6
Balance Analysis
Based on 236 prior matchesORDER
60% win prob
Δ 70
Lean ORDER
CHAOS
40% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 0% Order / 100% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
x2godx
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 10 · 51% favored
Heat
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Kryooo
OVR
Obsidian II
ADC
Silver III
MISMATCH — Order
gap 82 · 62% favored
i cant read
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MID
Weak3n
OVR
Obsidian III
MID
Bronze III
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 64 · 59% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Platinum III
MID
Platinum III
SOLO
MrUMS
OVR
Amber I
SOLO
Amber I PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 25 · 54% favored
ForeverNeoo
OVR
Amber I
SOLO
Poo Poo II
SUPPORT
Jalopy
OVR
Platinum I
SUPPORT
Gold I
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 46 · 57% favored
iRoFFLe
OVR
Amber II
SUPPORT
Silver III
ORDER (WIN) 39 kills Team Δ +24.0
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | x2godx | 5/7/14 | 2.71 | 0 | ▲ +2.8 | 2 | 5 | |
| ADC | Kryooo MVP | 7/4/15 | 5.50 | 163 | ▲ +5.4 | 169 | 109 | |
| MID THIRD | Weak3n | 14/4/7 | 5.25 | 144 | ▲ +5.8 | 150 | 236 | |
| SOLO | MrUMS | 8/5/12 | 4.00 | 15 | ▲ +4.4 | 19 | 11 | |
| SUPPORT | Jalopy | 5/7/24 | 4.14 | 103 | ▲ +5.6 | 109 | 29 |
CHAOS (LOSS) 27 kills Team Δ -20.3
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Heat | 7/11/9 | 1.45 | 10 | ▼ -3.8 | 6 | 4 | |
| ADC | i cant read | 7/5/7 | 2.80 | -42 | ▼ -3.8 | -45 | 83 | |
| MID | Boolougames TOP DMG | 8/7/14 | 3.14 | 89 | ▼ -3.5 | 85 | 99 | |
| SOLO | ForeverNeoo | 3/4/12 | 3.75 | 12 | ▼ -2.6 | 9 | 22 | |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | 2/11/12 | 1.27 | 6 | ▼ -6.6 | 0 | 69 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | i cant read | ROFFLE Tier | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Heat | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Kryooo | Obsidian II | Bronze I PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Jalopy | Platinum I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | Amber II | Silver III |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Boolougames | Platinum III | Platinum I PLACEMENT |
| ADC | MrUMS | Amber I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | x2godx | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Obsidian III | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | ForeverNeoo | Amber I | Bronze III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Jalopy: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER SOLO
- Kryooo: ORDER ADC → ORDER MID
- iRoFFLe: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SUPPORT
- Heat: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER ADC
- i cant read: CHAOS ADC → ORDER JUNGLE
- Weak3n: ORDER MID → CHAOS SOLO
- MrUMS: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS ADC
- x2godx: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS MID
- Boolougames: CHAOS MID → CHAOS JUNGLE
- ForeverNeoo: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS SUPPORT