ORDER WIN
08/10/2026 · Match #7 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 8/14/2026, 3:28:24 PM
Balance Analysis
Based on 232 prior matchesORDER
59% win prob
Δ 60
Lean ORDER
CHAOS
41% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 100% Order / 0% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Tricky
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 58 · 58% favored
Lonelywolf26951
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Kryooo
OVR
Obsidian III
ADC
Bronze II
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 12 · 52% favored
Jdood2000
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber I PLACEMENT
MID
Weak3n
OVR
Obsidian III
MID
Bronze III
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 28 · 54% favored
ScoobySnaccs
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
hellpuppy
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 6 · 51% favored
SfGothams
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Jigann
OVR
Gold III
SUPPORT
Gold III
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 27 · 54% favored
iRoFFLe
OVR
Amber III
SUPPORT
Bronze I
ORDER (WIN) 0 kills Team Δ +24.8
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE OFF-ROLE | Tricky | 0/0/0 | 0.00 | -58 | ▲ +5.0 | -53 | 43 | |
| ADC | Kryooo TOP DMG | 0/0/0 | 0.00 | 151 | ▲ +5.0 | 156 | 107 | |
| MID OFF-ROLE | Weak3n MVP | 0/0/0 | 0.00 | 147 | ▲ +5.0 | 152 | 232 | |
| SOLO NEW | hellpuppy | 0/0/0 | 0.00 | 0 | ▲ +5.0 | 5 | 0 | |
| SUPPORT | Jigann | 0/0/0 | 0.00 | 64 | ▲ +5.0 | 69 | 36 |
CHAOS (LOSS) 0 kills Team Δ -17.4
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | Lonelywolf26951 | 0/0/0 | 0.00 | 0 | ▼ -5.0 | -5 | 0 | |
| ADC NEW | Jdood2000 | 0/0/0 | 0.00 | 14 | ▼ -2.5 | 11 | 2 | |
| MID SECONDARY | ScoobySnaccs | 0/0/0 | 0.00 | -8 | ▼ -2.5 | -10 | 3 | |
| SOLO NEW | SfGothams | 0/0/0 | 0.00 | -6 | ▼ -2.5 | -8 | 2 | |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | 0/0/0 | 0.00 | 2 | ▼ -5.0 | -3 | 67 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | ScoobySnaccs | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Tricky | ROFFLE Tier | Poo Poo I |
| MID | Lonelywolf26951 | rookie | |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Obsidian III | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jigann | Gold III | Gold III |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | hellpuppy | rookie | |
| ADC | SfGothams | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Jdood2000 | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Kryooo | Obsidian III | Gold III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | Amber III | Bronze I |
What changed vs actual draft
- Weak3n: ORDER MID → ORDER SOLO
- Tricky: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER ADC
- ScoobySnaccs: CHAOS MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- Lonelywolf26951: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER MID
- Kryooo: ORDER ADC → CHAOS SOLO
- hellpuppy: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS JUNGLE
- SfGothams: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS ADC
- Jdood2000: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS MID