04/21/2026 · Match #25 · Conquest UNCONFIRMED
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2753124660?t=4h5m36s @ 14736s
Balance Analysis
Based on 22 prior matchesORDER
49% win prob
Δ 8
Balanced
CHAOS
51% win prob
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +91.6
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SUPPORT THIRD | Weak3n | Yemoja | 3 | 1 | 31 | 77 | +29.5 | 106 | 22 |
| MID NEW | Grease. | Cabrakan | 6 | 6 | 12 | 48 | +13.6 | 61 | 3 |
| JUNGLE NEW | Spideydoo | Eset | 7 | 6 | 19 | 2 | +14.9 | 17 | 2 |
| ADC SECONDARY | Jonhy0700 | Nemesis | 19 | 5 | 13 | 9 | +18.5 | 27 | 21 |
| SOLO NEW | Giftie | Anhur | 14 | 5 | 9 | 0 | +15.1 | 15 | 0 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -53.8
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SUPPORT THIRD | RogueThrone | Ne Zha | 7 | 11 | 1 | -21 | -9.5 | -31 | 15 |
| SOLO OFF-ROLE | Kryooo | Hun Batz | 5 | 6 | 8 | 57 | -9.5 | 48 | 13 |
| ADC SECONDARY | Horrify | Sylvanus | 2 | 11 | 13 | 78 | -11.0 | 67 | 8 |
| JUNGLE NEW | Mid | Nut | 5 | 11 | 6 | 0 | -11.7 | -12 | 0 |
| MID | OSteg | Scylla | 4 | 10 | 10 | 60 | -12.1 | 48 | 14 |
Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 3
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| SUPPORT | RogueThrone | -21 |
| MID | Grease. | 48 |
| JUNGLE | Mid | rookie |
| ADC | Horrify | 78 |
| SOLO | Kryooo | 57 |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| SUPPORT | Weak3n | 77 |
| MID | OSteg | 60 |
| JUNGLE | Spideydoo | 2 |
| ADC | Jonhy0700 | 9 |
| SOLO | Giftie | rookie |
What changed vs actual draft
- RogueThrone: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SUPPORT
- Mid: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER JUNGLE
- Horrify: CHAOS ADC → ORDER ADC
- Kryooo: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SOLO