ORDER WIN
07/16/2026 · Match #4 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 8/10/2026, 11:00:57 PM
Kills
30 – 26
MVP · best KDA
i cant read 10/2/7
Biggest Elo gain
i cant read +11.1
Biggest Elo drop
Sneak -12.4
Balance Analysis
Based on 223 prior matchesORDER
51% win prob
Δ 7
Balanced
CHAOS
49% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 100% Order / 0% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Spoon
OVR
Dog Shit I
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 29 · 54% favored
Tricky
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
i cant read
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 63 · 59% favored
Sneak
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
x2godx
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 14 · 52% favored
Malenia
OVR
Amber II
MID
Amber I
SOLO
Riptzer
OVR
Demigod
SOLO
ROFFLE Tier
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 34 · 55% favored
ForeverNeoo
OVR
Amber II
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
iRoFFLe
OVR
Poo Poo II
SUPPORT
Bronze III
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 44 · 56% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Obsidian III
SUPPORT
Gold III
ORDER (WIN) 30 kills Team Δ +29.4
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | Spoon | 5/3/10 | 5.00 | -17 | ▲ +6.1 | -11 | 21 | |
| ADC | i cant read MVP C | 10/2/7 | 8.50 | -59 | ▲ +11.1 | -48 | 78 | |
| MID NEW | x2godx | 11/7/8 | 2.71 | -6 | ▲ +3.5 | -2 | 2 | |
| SOLO THIRD | Riptzer | 2/9/11 | 1.44 | 231 | ▲ +2.1 | 233 | 146 | |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | 2/5/18 | 4.00 | -8 | ▲ +6.7 | -1 | 64 |
CHAOS (LOSS) 26 kills Team Δ -24.9
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE OFF-ROLE | Tricky C | 7/6/12 | 3.17 | -55 | ▼ -2.3 | -58 | 42 | |
| ADC NEW | Sneak | 3/8/7 | 1.25 | 3 | ▼ -12.4 | -10 | 1 | |
| MID | Malenia TOP DMG | 5/6/15 | 3.33 | 7 | ▼ -4.5 | 3 | 14 | |
| SOLO | ForeverNeoo | 5/4/10 | 3.75 | 9 | ▼ -3.6 | 5 | 12 | |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | Weak3n | 6/6/12 | 3.00 | 142 | ▼ -2.1 | 140 | 223 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 3
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | i cant read | ROFFLE Tier | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Tricky | ROFFLE Tier | Poo Poo I |
| MID | x2godx | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Spoon | Dog Shit I | Poo Poo III |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Demigod | Demigod |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Sneak | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | ForeverNeoo | Amber II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Malenia | Amber II | Amber I |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Obsidian III | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | Poo Poo II | Bronze III |
What changed vs actual draft
- Spoon: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Riptzer: ORDER SOLO → ORDER SUPPORT
- i cant read: ORDER ADC → ORDER JUNGLE
- Tricky: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER ADC
- iRoFFLe: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Weak3n: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS SOLO
- ForeverNeoo: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS ADC
- Sneak: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS JUNGLE
Notes / Flags
- Sneak [shitter]: bad build