ORDER WIN
F6 by CHAOS
UPSET
07/15/2026 · Match #4 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 8/10/2026, 11:04:00 PM
Kills
21 – 9
MVP · best KDA
Weak3n 7/2/11
Biggest Elo gain
Horrify +10.6
Biggest Elo drop
NinnyJug -17.4
Balance Analysis
Based on 217 prior matchesORDER
42% win prob
Δ 58
Lean CHAOS
UPSET — underdog won
CHAOS
58% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 100% Order / 0% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond I
JUNGLE
Gold II
MISMATCH — Order
gap 95 · 63% favored
Spoon
OVR
Poo Poo III
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
i cant read
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 101 · 64% favored
Kryooo
OVR
Obsidian II
ADC
Silver III
MID
Edgewing
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 24 · 53% favored
ForeverNeoo
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
OSteg
OVR
Amber III
SOLO
Silver II
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 45 · 56% favored
NinnyJug
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Horrify
OVR
Silver III
SUPPORT
Poo Poo III
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 274 · 83% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Master I
SUPPORT
Demigod
ORDER (WIN) 21 kills Team Δ +35.0
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n MVP STOMPER | 7/2/11 | 9.00 | 137 | ▲ +8.2 | 146 | 217 | |
| ADC | i cant read STOMPER | 6/3/7 | 4.33 | -58 | ▲ +4.0 | -54 | 72 | |
| MID SECONDARY | Edgewing TOP DMG STOMPER | 3/2/9 | 6.00 | -35 | ▲ +5.3 | -30 | 32 | |
| SOLO SECONDARY | OSteg C STOMPER | 2/0/5 | 7.00 | 5 | ▲ +7.0 | 12 | 98 | |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | Horrify STOMPER | 3/2/15 | 9.00 | 38 | ▲ +10.6 | 48 | 49 |
CHAOS (LOSS) 9 kills Team Δ -31.3
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | Spoon C F6er | 5/5/4 | 1.80 | -11 | ▼ -1.6 | -13 | 15 | |
| ADC | Kryooo F6er | 2/4/2 | 1.00 | 162 | ▼ -5.9 | 156 | 104 | |
| MID SECONDARY | ForeverNeoo F6er | 2/4/4 | 1.50 | 0 | ▼ -2.0 | -2 | 8 | |
| SOLO NEW | NinnyJug F6er | 0/3/0 | 0.00 | 0 | ▼ -17.4 | -17 | 0 | |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer F6er | 0/5/5 | 1.00 | 227 | ▼ -4.2 | 223 | 142 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | i cant read | ROFFLE Tier | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Edgewing | ROFFLE Tier | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Spoon | Poo Poo III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | OSteg | Amber III | Silver II |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Master I | Demigod |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | ForeverNeoo | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Horrify | Silver III | Bronze III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Kryooo | Obsidian II | Bronze I PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond I | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | NinnyJug | rookie | |
What changed vs actual draft
- Edgewing: ORDER MID → ORDER ADC
- i cant read: ORDER ADC → ORDER JUNGLE
- Spoon: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER MID
- Riptzer: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SUPPORT
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- Horrify: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS ADC
- Kryooo: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS MID
- ForeverNeoo: CHAOS MID → CHAOS JUNGLE
- NinnyJug: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS SUPPORT