CHAOS WIN
07/15/2026 · Match #3 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 8/10/2026, 11:04:16 PM
Kills
16 – 39
MVP · best KDA
Riptzer 3/2/16
Biggest Elo gain
Riptzer +10.0
Biggest Elo drop
i cant read -10.0
Balance Analysis
Based on 216 prior matchesORDER
49% win prob
Δ 6
Balanced
CHAOS
51% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 100% Order / 0% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond I
JUNGLE
Gold I
MISMATCH — Order
gap 86 · 62% favored
Horrify
OVR
Bronze I
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
i cant read
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 43 · 56% favored
TenochMedina
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Malenia
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
MID
Amber I PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 36 · 55% favored
ItzStallone
OVR
Gold II
MID
Silver I
SOLO
ForeverNeoo
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 40 · 56% favored
OSteg
OVR
Poo Poo I
SOLO
Silver III
SUPPORT
Kryooo
OVR
Obsidian II
SUPPORT
Gold II PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 178 · 74% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Master I
SUPPORT
Demigod
ORDER (LOSS) 16 kills Team Δ -27.0
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n TOP DMG | 5/7/6 | 1.57 | 141 | ▼ -3.7 | 137 | 216 | |
| ADC | i cant read C | 2/7/2 | 0.57 | -48 | ▼ -10.0 | -58 | 71 | |
| MID | Malenia | 4/9/5 | 1.00 | 14 | ▼ -5.8 | 8 | 9 | |
| SOLO | ForeverNeoo | 4/7/4 | 1.14 | 5 | ▼ -5.0 | 0 | 7 | |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | Kryooo | 1/9/7 | 0.89 | 164 | ▼ -2.5 | 162 | 103 |
CHAOS (WIN) 39 kills Team Δ +29.4
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE OFF-ROLE | Horrify | 9/3/11 | 6.67 | 32 | ▲ +5.4 | 38 | 48 | |
| ADC SECONDARY | TenochMedina C | 9/5/8 | 3.40 | -7 | ▲ +2.8 | -4 | 3 | |
| MID | ItzStallone | 9/3/13 | 7.33 | 67 | ▲ +5.9 | 73 | 39 | |
| SOLO SECONDARY | OSteg | 9/3/10 | 6.33 | -1 | ▲ +5.3 | 5 | 97 | |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer MVP | 3/2/16 | 9.50 | 217 | ▲ +10.0 | 227 | 141 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 2
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Malenia | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Horrify | Bronze I | Bronze III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Kryooo | Obsidian II | Bronze I PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond I | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | ForeverNeoo | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | i cant read | ROFFLE Tier | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | ItzStallone | Gold II | Silver I |
| MID | TenochMedina | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | OSteg | Poo Poo I | Silver III |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Master I | Demigod |
What changed vs actual draft
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Kryooo: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER MID
- Malenia: ORDER MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- ForeverNeoo: ORDER SOLO → ORDER SUPPORT
- Horrify: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER ADC
- i cant read: ORDER ADC → CHAOS JUNGLE
- ItzStallone: CHAOS MID → CHAOS ADC
- TenochMedina: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS MID