CHAOS WIN
F6 by ORDER
07/15/2026 · Match #2 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 8/10/2026, 11:04:42 PM
Kills
15 – 30
MVP · best KDA
JuiceMan28 9/2/11
Biggest Elo gain
JuiceMan28 +8.0
Biggest Elo drop
OSteg -6.9
Balance Analysis
Based on 215 prior matchesORDER
44% win prob
Δ 40
Lean CHAOS
CHAOS
56% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 29% Order / 71% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Obsidian III
JUNGLE
Gold I
MISMATCH — Order
gap 77 · 61% favored
ForeverNeoo
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
OSteg
OVR
Amber II
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 73 · 60% favored
Kryooo
OVR
Obsidian II
ADC
Silver III
MID
Mysterio
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 10 · 51% favored
JuiceMan28
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
MID
Amber II PLACEMENT
SOLO
Spoon
OVR
Poo Poo II
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 50 · 57% favored
Horrify
OVR
Bronze I
SOLO
Silver II
SUPPORT
ItzStallone
OVR
Gold II
SUPPORT
Silver III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 207 · 77% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Master I
SUPPORT
Demigod
ORDER (LOSS) 15 kills Team Δ -20.5
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n F6er | 2/4/10 | 3.00 | 144 | ▼ -3.2 | 141 | 215 | |
| ADC THIRD | OSteg F6er | 3/7/7 | 1.43 | 6 | ▼ -6.9 | -1 | 96 | |
| MID NEW | Mysterio F6er | 4/9/6 | 1.11 | -5 | ▼ -4.1 | -9 | 1 | |
| SOLO | Spoon C F6er | 2/5/7 | 1.80 | -7 | ▼ -4.5 | -11 | 14 | |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | ItzStallone F6er | 4/5/7 | 2.20 | 69 | ▼ -1.8 | 67 | 38 |
CHAOS (WIN) 30 kills Team Δ +26.5
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE OFF-ROLE | ForeverNeoo STOMPER | 7/3/10 | 5.67 | 1 | ▲ +4.5 | 5 | 6 | |
| ADC | Kryooo STOMPER | 6/2/5 | 5.50 | 160 | ▲ +4.5 | 164 | 102 | |
| MID SECONDARY | JuiceMan28 MVP TOP DMG STOMPER | 9/2/11 | 10.00 | 10 | ▲ +8.0 | 18 | 5 | |
| SOLO | Horrify C STOMPER | 1/5/16 | 3.40 | 29 | ▲ +3.2 | 32 | 47 | |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer STOMPER | 7/3/14 | 7.00 | 211 | ▲ +6.4 | 217 | 140 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Mysterio | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Spoon | Poo Poo II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Kryooo | Obsidian II | Bronze I PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Obsidian III | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | ItzStallone | Gold II | Silver III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | JuiceMan28 | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | ForeverNeoo | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Horrify | Bronze I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | OSteg | Amber II | Silver III |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Master I | Demigod |
What changed vs actual draft
- Spoon: ORDER SOLO → ORDER ADC
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Mysterio: ORDER MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- Kryooo: CHAOS ADC → ORDER MID
- OSteg: ORDER ADC → CHAOS SOLO
- JuiceMan28: CHAOS MID → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Horrify: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS MID
- ForeverNeoo: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS ADC