CHAOS WIN
07/15/2026 · Match #1 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 8/10/2026, 11:05:01 PM
Kills
27 – 49
MVP · best KDA
Horrify 11/1/20
Biggest Elo gain
Horrify +15.7
Biggest Elo drop
ForeverNeoo -6.5
Balance Analysis
Based on 214 prior matchesORDER
42% win prob
Δ 55
Lean CHAOS
CHAOS
58% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 0% Order / 100% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Spoon
OVR
Poo Poo I
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 97 · 64% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Obsidian III
JUNGLE
Gold I
ADC
OSteg
OVR
Amber I
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
EVEN
gap 8 · 51% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Master II
ADC
Dog Shit II
MID
ItzStallone
OVR
Gold II
MID
Silver I
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 42 · 56% favored
Malenia
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
MID
Amber I PLACEMENT
SOLO
ForeverNeoo
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber II PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 22 · 53% favored
Horrify
OVR
Amber I
SOLO
Bronze II
SUPPORT
Mysterio
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 17 · 52% favored
iRoFFLe
OVR
Poo Poo III
SUPPORT
Bronze III
ORDER (LOSS) 27 kills Team Δ -22.3
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | Spoon | 5/10/8 | 1.30 | -4 | ▼ -2.9 | -7 | 13 | |
| ADC THIRD | OSteg | 8/13/11 | 1.46 | 12 | ▼ -5.3 | 6 | 95 | |
| MID | ItzStallone C | 8/7/11 | 2.71 | 72 | ▼ -2.8 | 69 | 37 | |
| SOLO | ForeverNeoo | 1/9/8 | 1.00 | 7 | ▼ -6.5 | 1 | 5 | |
| SUPPORT NEW | Mysterio | 5/10/9 | 1.40 | 0 | ▼ -4.8 | -5 | 0 |
CHAOS (WIN) 49 kills Team Δ +25.3
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 10/8/20 | 3.75 | 142 | ▲ +1.8 | 144 | 214 | |
| ADC THIRD | Riptzer C | 16/7/7 | 3.29 | 209 | ▲ +1.8 | 211 | 139 | |
| MID | Malenia | 9/4/14 | 5.75 | 11 | ▲ +2.9 | 14 | 8 | |
| SOLO | Horrify MVP TOP DMG | 11/1/20 | 31.00 | 13 | ▲ +15.7 | 29 | 46 | |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | 3/7/28 | 4.43 | -12 | ▲ +3.0 | -9 | 60 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | ItzStallone | Gold II | Bronze III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Horrify | Amber I | Bronze III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Spoon | Poo Poo I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Obsidian III | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | Poo Poo III | Bronze III |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | ForeverNeoo | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Malenia | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Mysterio | rookie | |
| SOLO | OSteg | Amber I | Silver III |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Master II | Demigod |
What changed vs actual draft
- Spoon: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER MID
- ItzStallone: ORDER MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Horrify: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER ADC
- iRoFFLe: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SUPPORT
- OSteg: ORDER ADC → CHAOS SOLO
- ForeverNeoo: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Mysterio: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS MID
- Riptzer: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Malenia: CHAOS MID → CHAOS ADC