ORDER WIN
07/14/2026 · Match #2 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 8/10/2026, 11:06:26 PM
Kills
34 – 19
MVP · best KDA
Riptzer 6/2/16
Biggest Elo gain
Riptzer +10.8
Biggest Elo drop
Jonhy0700 -7.8
Balance Analysis
Based on 210 prior matchesORDER
53% win prob
Δ 19
Balanced
CHAOS
47% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 36% Order / 64% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond III
JUNGLE
Silver I
EVEN
gap 9 · 51% favored
Kryooo
OVR
Obsidian III
JUNGLE
Gold III
ADC
OSteg
OVR
Amber III
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
EVEN
gap 3 · 50% favored
i cant read
OVR
Dog Shit III
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MID
JuiceMan28
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 10 · 51% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Platinum I
MID
Poo Poo II
SOLO
ForeverNeoo
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 34 · 55% favored
Horrify
OVR
Amber II
SOLO
Bronze I
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR
Master II
SUPPORT
Demigod
MISMATCH — Order
gap 237 · 80% favored
Jones3Gaming
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) 34 kills Team Δ +28.4
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 6/3/17 | 7.67 | 118 | ▲ +6.1 | 124 | 210 | |
| ADC THIRD | OSteg | 5/5/13 | 3.60 | 4 | ▲ +2.7 | 7 | 93 | |
| MID OFF-ROLE | JuiceMan28 TOP DMG | 10/3/11 | 7.00 | 4 | ▲ +5.8 | 10 | 4 | |
| SOLO NEW | ForeverNeoo | 7/6/13 | 3.33 | -3 | ▲ +2.9 | 0 | 1 | |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer MVP C | 6/2/16 | 11.00 | 210 | ▲ +10.8 | 220 | 135 |
CHAOS (LOSS) 19 kills Team Δ -25.8
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Kryooo | 4/5/9 | 2.60 | 146 | ▼ -3.5 | 142 | 99 | |
| ADC | i cant read | 2/5/8 | 2.00 | -30 | ▼ -5.0 | -35 | 67 | |
| MID THIRD | Jonhy0700 | 6/9/4 | 1.11 | 109 | ▼ -7.8 | 101 | 169 | |
| SOLO | Horrify C | 4/9/7 | 1.22 | 10 | ▼ -6.9 | 3 | 43 | |
| SUPPORT NEW | Jones3Gaming | 3/6/6 | 1.50 | 5 | ▼ -2.6 | 2 | 1 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | JuiceMan28 | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Horrify | Amber II | Bronze III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Jones3Gaming | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | OSteg | Amber III | Silver III |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Master II | Demigod |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | i cant read | Dog Shit III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | ForeverNeoo | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Kryooo | Obsidian III | Bronze I PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond III | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Platinum I | Amber II PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- JuiceMan28: ORDER MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- OSteg: ORDER ADC → ORDER SOLO
- Horrify: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER ADC
- Jones3Gaming: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER MID
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- ForeverNeoo: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS ADC
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS MID → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Kryooo: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS MID
- i cant read: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS JUNGLE