CHAOS WIN
UPSET
07/13/2026 · Match #5 · Conquest
Kills
29 – 32
MVP · best KDA
Weak3n 18/5/6
Biggest Elo gain
Weak3n +8.7
Biggest Elo drop
VooDooMoMaJuJu -11.8
Balance Analysis
Based on 208 prior matchesORDER
56% win prob
Δ 45
Lean ORDER
UPSET — underdog won
CHAOS
44% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 0% Order / 100% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
DESTROYINOOBS
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber I PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 40 · 56% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond III
JUNGLE
Silver I
ADC
Kryooo
OVR
Obsidian III
ADC
Bronze II
MISMATCH — Order
gap 66 · 59% favored
i cant read
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MID
Riptzer
OVR
Master II
MID
Master II PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Order
gap 187 · 75% favored
Malenia
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
MID
Amber I PLACEMENT
SOLO
VooDooMoMaJuJu
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber II PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 6 · 51% favored
MrUMS
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
iRoFFLe
OVR
Poo Poo I
SUPPORT
Bronze II
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 11 · 52% favored
Jigann
OVR
Silver III
SUPPORT
Bronze I
ORDER (LOSS) 29 kills Team Δ -28.3
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | DESTROYINOOBS | 13/5/3 | 3.20 | 11 | ▼ -2.2 | 9 | 3 | |
| ADC | Kryooo | 7/5/7 | 2.80 | 148 | ▼ -5.3 | 143 | 98 | |
| MID OFF-ROLE | Riptzer | 4/6/10 | 2.33 | 200 | ▼ -3.3 | 197 | 133 | |
| SOLO SECONDARY | VooDooMoMaJuJu | 5/7/4 | 1.29 | 6 | ▼ -11.8 | -6 | 3 | |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | 0/9/17 | 1.89 | -4 | ▼ -5.6 | -9 | 57 |
CHAOS (WIN) 32 kills Team Δ +33.8
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n MVP | 18/5/6 | 4.80 | 118 | ▲ +8.7 | 127 | 208 | |
| ADC | i cant read | 8/4/8 | 4.00 | -41 | ▲ +6.9 | -34 | 65 | |
| MID | Malenia | 5/5/16 | 4.20 | 15 | ▲ +6.8 | 22 | 3 | |
| SOLO | MrUMS | 1/7/21 | 3.14 | 6 | ▲ +6.4 | 12 | 8 | |
| SUPPORT | Jigann | 0/8/17 | 2.13 | 39 | ▲ +5.1 | 44 | 27 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | i cant read | ROFFLE Tier | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Jigann | Silver III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Malenia | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber I PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | DESTROYINOOBS | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Master II | Master I |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | VooDooMoMaJuJu | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | MrUMS | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Kryooo | Obsidian III | Bronze I PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond III | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | Poo Poo I | Bronze II |
What changed vs actual draft
- Riptzer: ORDER MID → ORDER SUPPORT
- DESTROYINOOBS: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Jigann: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER ADC
- i cant read: CHAOS ADC → ORDER JUNGLE
- Malenia: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID
- Kryooo: ORDER ADC → CHAOS MID
- iRoFFLe: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS SUPPORT
- VooDooMoMaJuJu: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- MrUMS: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS ADC
Notes / Flags
- Weak3n [general]: top
- iRoFFLe [general]: cap
- i cant read [general]: cap
- DESTROYINOOBS [shitter]: ghosting in a custom