ORDER WIN
07/13/2026 · Match #4 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 8/10/2026, 11:12:45 PM
Kills
26 – 22
MVP · best KDA
Malenia 9/2/9
Biggest Elo gain
Malenia +10.4
Biggest Elo drop
iRoFFLe -8.5
Balance Analysis
Based on 207 prior matchesORDER
54% win prob
Δ 31
Lean ORDER
CHAOS
46% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 0% Order / 100% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond III
JUNGLE
Silver II
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 17 · 52% favored
Kryooo
OVR
Obsidian III
JUNGLE
Gold III
ADC
Ultima
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 37 · 55% favored
i cant read
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MID
Malenia
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
MID
Amber II PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 24 · 53% favored
iRoFFLe
OVR
Amber III
MID
Poo Poo III
SOLO
StutterMcGee
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 7 · 51% favored
MrUMS
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber II PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR
Master II
SUPPORT
Master I
MISMATCH — Order
gap 180 · 74% favored
Jigann
OVR
Silver II
SUPPORT
Silver III
ORDER (WIN) 26 kills Team Δ +27.4
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 2/6/13 | 2.50 | 113 | ▲ +2.7 | 115 | 207 | |
| ADC OFF-ROLE | Ultima | 5/5/8 | 2.60 | 10 | ▲ +2.9 | 13 | 3 | |
| MID NEW | Malenia MVP TOP DMG | 9/2/9 | 9.00 | 9 | ▲ +10.4 | 20 | 2 | |
| SOLO | StutterMcGee | 6/6/11 | 2.83 | -1 | ▲ +3.5 | 3 | 5 | |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer C | 4/3/13 | 5.67 | 194 | ▲ +7.9 | 202 | 132 |
CHAOS (LOSS) 22 kills Team Δ -24.3
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Kryooo C | 10/4/7 | 4.25 | 154 | ▼ -2.9 | 151 | 97 | |
| ADC | i cant read | 3/4/10 | 3.25 | -35 | ▼ -4.4 | -39 | 64 | |
| MID THIRD | iRoFFLe | 3/7/8 | 1.57 | 2 | ▼ -8.5 | -7 | 56 | |
| SOLO | MrUMS | 4/5/6 | 2.00 | 9 | ▼ -3.0 | 6 | 7 | |
| SUPPORT | Jigann | 2/6/9 | 1.83 | 44 | ▼ -5.5 | 39 | 26 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 2
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | StutterMcGee | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| ADC | MrUMS | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Kryooo | Obsidian III | Bronze I PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond III | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | Amber III | Bronze II |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | i cant read | ROFFLE Tier | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Jigann | Silver II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Malenia | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Ultima | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Master II | Master I |
What changed vs actual draft
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- StutterMcGee: ORDER SOLO → ORDER JUNGLE
- Kryooo: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER MID
- iRoFFLe: CHAOS MID → ORDER SUPPORT
- MrUMS: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER ADC
- Riptzer: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Ultima: ORDER ADC → CHAOS SOLO
- Malenia: ORDER MID → CHAOS MID
- Jigann: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS ADC
- i cant read: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS JUNGLE