CHAOS WIN
07/13/2026 · Match #2 · Conquest
Kills
22 – 28
MVP · best KDA
Jigann 2/3/20
Biggest Elo gain
Jigann +9.2
Biggest Elo drop
i cant read -11.5
Balance Analysis
Based on 205 prior matchesORDER
51% win prob
Δ 5
Balanced
CHAOS
49% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 100% Order / 0% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
x2godx
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 8 · 51% favored
Jigann
OVR
Bronze II
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
i cant read
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 39 · 56% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Platinum I
ADC
Amber II
MID
Riptzer
OVR
Master II
MID
Master II PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Order
gap 203 · 76% favored
MrUMS
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Mamba
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 40 · 56% favored
OSteg
OVR
Poo Poo I
SOLO
Bronze I
SUPPORT
iRoFFLe
OVR
Amber I
SUPPORT
Bronze I
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 32 · 55% favored
Bibby
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) 22 kills Team Δ -26.2
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | x2godx | 5/6/9 | 2.33 | -4 | ▼ -2.4 | -6 | 1 | |
| ADC | i cant read | 1/3/2 | 1.00 | -31 | ▼ -11.5 | -42 | 62 | |
| MID OFF-ROLE | Riptzer | 7/5/7 | 2.80 | 198 | ▼ -1.9 | 196 | 130 | |
| SOLO NEW | Mamba | 9/6/4 | 2.17 | -7 | ▼ -5.4 | -13 | 1 | |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | 0/8/12 | 1.50 | 11 | ▼ -5.1 | 6 | 54 |
CHAOS (WIN) 28 kills Team Δ +30.5
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE OFF-ROLE | Jigann MVP | 2/3/20 | 7.33 | 27 | ▲ +9.2 | 37 | 24 | |
| ADC OFF-ROLE | Weak3n | 5/5/9 | 2.80 | 105 | ▲ +3.6 | 108 | 205 | |
| MID OFF-ROLE | MrUMS | 3/5/12 | 3.00 | 9 | ▲ +3.9 | 13 | 5 | |
| SOLO SECONDARY | OSteg | 8/5/14 | 4.40 | -2 | ▲ +6.4 | 4 | 92 | |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | Bibby | 10/4/11 | 5.25 | 3 | ▲ +7.3 | 10 | 4 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 3
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | i cant read | ROFFLE Tier | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Bibby | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | x2godx | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Mamba | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Master II | Master I |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | OSteg | Poo Poo I | Amber I PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Jigann | Bronze II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | MrUMS | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Platinum I | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | Amber I | Bronze I |
What changed vs actual draft
- Riptzer: ORDER MID → ORDER SUPPORT
- i cant read: ORDER ADC → ORDER JUNGLE
- x2godx: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER MID
- Bibby: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER ADC
- iRoFFLe: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Weak3n: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS SOLO
- OSteg: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Jigann: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS ADC
Notes / Flags
- OSteg [general]: top cap
- iRoFFLe [general]: cap