ORDER WIN
07/12/2026 · Match #4 · Conquest
Balance Analysis
Based on 201 prior matchesORDER
49% win prob
Δ 5
Balanced
CHAOS
51% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 100% Order / 0% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
LordSlatysteak
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 49 · 57% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond III
JUNGLE
Silver II
ADC
Kryooo
OVR
Diamond I
ADC
Bronze III
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 40 · 56% favored
OSteg
OVR
Amber II
ADC
Dog Shit II
MID
BiggieSlaps
OVR
Dog Shit I
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 31 · 55% favored
Jordi
OVR
Silver III PLACEMENT
MID
Bronze I PLACEMENT
SOLO
Jigann
OVR
Silver III
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 11 · 52% favored
R0cur0nium
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
iRoFFLe
OVR
Poo Poo III
SUPPORT
Amber I
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 10 · 51% favored
StutterMcGee
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) 33 kills Team Δ +30.4
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE OFF-ROLE | LordSlatysteak | 10/2/10 | 10.00 | -4 | ▲ +6.5 | 2 | 3 | |
| ADC | Kryooo | 13/2/5 | 9.00 | 133 | ▲ +6.3 | 139 | 94 | |
| MID | BiggieSlaps | 5/3/10 | 5.00 | -17 | ▲ +3.1 | -13 | 11 | |
| SOLO OFF-ROLE | Jigann MVP | 5/1/8 | 13.00 | 36 | ▲ +8.8 | 45 | 20 | |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | 0/3/19 | 6.33 | -11 | ▲ +5.7 | -5 | 50 |
CHAOS (LOSS) 11 kills Team Δ -22.2
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 4/3/4 | 2.67 | 112 | ▼ -2.1 | 110 | 201 | |
| ADC THIRD | OSteg | 0/13/4 | 0.31 | 9 | ▼ -11.8 | -2 | 91 | |
| MID SECONDARY | Jordi | 5/2/2 | 3.50 | 37 | ▼ -0.8 | 36 | 4 | |
| SOLO NEW | R0cur0nium | 0/5/3 | 0.60 | -4 | ▼ -4.0 | -8 | 1 | |
| SUPPORT NEW | StutterMcGee | 2/10/5 | 0.70 | 6 | ▼ -3.5 | 3 | 1 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jordi | Silver III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | StutterMcGee | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | BiggieSlaps | Dog Shit I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Kryooo | Diamond I | Silver I PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | Poo Poo III | Amber I |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | OSteg | Amber II | Amber I PLACEMENT |
| ADC | R0cur0nium | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | LordSlatysteak | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond III | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jigann | Silver III | Silver II |
What changed vs actual draft
- Kryooo: ORDER ADC → ORDER SOLO
- Jordi: CHAOS MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- StutterMcGee: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER ADC
- Jigann: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS SUPPORT
- LordSlatysteak: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS MID
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- OSteg: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS JUNGLE
- R0cur0nium: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS ADC
Notes / Flags
- OSteg [shitter]: inting cap
- iRoFFLe [general]: cap
- Jordi [general]: top