CHAOS WIN
06/02/2026 · Match #2 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 6/4/2026, 2:59:59 AM
Kills
51 – 59
MVP · best KDA
Weak3n 15/5/35
Biggest Elo gain
Weak3n +12.5
Biggest Elo drop
Bellerophon -9.7
Balance Analysis
Based on 187 prior matchesORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
Balanced
CHAOS
50% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 100% Order / 0% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Bellerophon
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 10 · 51% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Gold II
JUNGLE
Amber I
ADC
i cant read
OVR
Poo Poo II
ADC
Poo Poo III
EVEN
gap 0 · 50% favored
Tricky
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
Dog Shit I
MID
ItzStallone
OVR
Gold I
MID
Gold III
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 25 · 54% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Platinum III
MID
Platinum III
SOLO
OSteg
OVR
Amber II
SOLO
Silver III
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 38 · 55% favored
Oblivion
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Hydra
OVR
Bronze I PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Bronze III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 21 · 53% favored
MrUMS
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) 51 kills Team Δ -24.7
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | Bellerophon | 7/14/14 | 1.50 | 0 | ▼ -9.7 | -10 | 0 | |
| ADC | i cant read C | 12/8/16 | 3.50 | -9 | ▼ -4.1 | -13 | 48 | |
| MID | ItzStallone TOP DMG | 15/14/21 | 2.57 | 78 | ▼ -5.6 | 72 | 36 | |
| SOLO SECONDARY | OSteg | 11/15/15 | 1.73 | 7 | ▼ -3.9 | 3 | 86 | |
| SUPPORT | Hydra | 6/8/26 | 4.00 | 31 | ▼ -1.4 | 29 | 5 |
CHAOS (WIN) 59 kills Team Δ +30.1
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n MVP | 15/5/35 | 10.00 | 69 | ▲ +12.5 | 81 | 187 | |
| ADC | Tricky C | 16/15/12 | 1.87 | -66 | ▲ +2.5 | -63 | 39 | |
| MID | Boolougames | 13/12/31 | 3.67 | 89 | ▲ +4.6 | 93 | 97 | |
| SOLO NEW | Oblivion | 8/9/28 | 4.00 | -1 | ▲ +5.8 | 5 | 1 | |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | MrUMS | 7/10/23 | 3.00 | 11 | ▲ +4.7 | 15 | 3 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | i cant read | Poo Poo II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Tricky | ROFFLE Tier | Dog Shit I |
| MID | Hydra | Bronze I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | OSteg | Amber II | Silver III |
| SUPPORT | ItzStallone | Gold I | Silver III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Boolougames | Platinum III | Platinum I PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Oblivion | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Bellerophon | rookie | |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Gold II | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | MrUMS | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- ItzStallone: ORDER MID → ORDER SUPPORT
- Hydra: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER MID
- i cant read: ORDER ADC → ORDER JUNGLE
- Tricky: CHAOS ADC → ORDER ADC
- Bellerophon: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS MID
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- Boolougames: CHAOS MID → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Oblivion: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS ADC