ORDER WIN
05/26/2026 · Match #2 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/27/2026, 1:10:30 PM
Kills
38 – 29
MVP · best KDA
Riptzer 5/3/21
Biggest Elo gain
Riptzer +13.7
Biggest Elo drop
i cant read -6.0
Balance Analysis
Based on 178 prior matchesORDER
54% win prob
Δ 29
Lean ORDER
CHAOS
46% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 9% Order / 91% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Stokedtea
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 0 · 50% favored
itsKingJae
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Eclipse feeds
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber I PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 22 · 53% favored
i cant read
OVR
Poo Poo I
ADC
Poo Poo II
MID
Weak3n
OVR
Silver I
MID
Amber II
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 101 · 64% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Platinum I
MID
Diamond III
SOLO
leoorchild
OVR
Bronze III
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 0 · 50% favored
PrimeMinisterCyN
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR
Obsidian II
SUPPORT
Obsidian I
MISMATCH — Order
gap 171 · 73% favored
iRoFFLe
OVR
Poo Poo I
SUPPORT
Amber II
ORDER (WIN) 38 kills Team Δ +27.5
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | Stokedtea | 3/8/10 | 1.63 | 0 | ▲ +1.9 | 2 | 0 | |
| ADC | Eclipse feeds TOP DMG | 8/5/6 | 2.80 | 13 | ▲ +3.6 | 16 | 4 | |
| MID OFF-ROLE | Weak3n | 12/5/11 | 4.60 | 52 | ▲ +5.8 | 58 | 178 | |
| SOLO OFF-ROLE | leoorchild | 10/8/6 | 2.00 | 19 | ▲ +2.4 | 21 | 11 | |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer MVP C | 5/3/21 | 8.67 | 158 | ▲ +13.7 | 172 | 122 |
CHAOS (LOSS) 29 kills Team Δ -21.0
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | itsKingJae | 4/13/10 | 1.08 | -7 | ▼ -5.1 | -12 | 1 | |
| ADC | i cant read C | 6/6/4 | 1.67 | -3 | ▼ -6.0 | -9 | 47 | |
| MID | Boolougames | 10/8/6 | 2.00 | 107 | ▼ -5.1 | 102 | 90 | |
| SOLO OFF-ROLE | PrimeMinisterCyN | 7/4/8 | 3.75 | 2 | ▼ -1.4 | 1 | 3 | |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | 2/7/14 | 2.29 | -3 | ▼ -3.5 | -7 | 39 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | leoorchild | Bronze III | Bronze III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | PrimeMinisterCyN | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Boolougames | Platinum I | Diamond III |
| SOLO | Eclipse feeds | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | Poo Poo I | Amber II |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | i cant read | Poo Poo I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | itsKingJae | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Stokedtea | rookie | |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Silver I | Platinum III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Obsidian II | Obsidian I |
What changed vs actual draft
- leoorchild: ORDER SOLO → ORDER JUNGLE
- Eclipse feeds: ORDER ADC → ORDER SOLO
- Boolougames: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID
- iRoFFLe: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SUPPORT
- PrimeMinisterCyN: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER ADC
- Weak3n: ORDER MID → CHAOS SOLO
- Riptzer: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Stokedtea: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS MID
- i cant read: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS JUNGLE
- itsKingJae: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS ADC