ORDER WIN
05/25/2026 · Match #1 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/26/2026, 2:20:03 PM
Kills
16 – 31
MVP · best KDA
SSaiyanBlu 6/2/13
Biggest Elo gain
Boolougames +10.6
Biggest Elo drop
i cant read -8.1
Balance Analysis
Based on 171 prior matchesORDER
49% win prob
Δ 7
Balanced
CHAOS
51% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 0% Order / 100% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
TT
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 2 · 50% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Silver II
JUNGLE
Poo Poo I
ADC
Jonhy0700
OVR
Gold I
ADC
Poo Poo I
EVEN
gap 8 · 51% favored
i cant read
OVR
Poo Poo I
ADC
Poo Poo II
MID
Boolougames
OVR
Platinum III
MID
Platinum I
MISMATCH — Order
gap 118 · 66% favored
Edgewing
OVR
Dog Shit III
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
SOLO
Poo Poo III
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 11 · 52% favored
SSaiyanBlu
OVR
Dog Shit II
SOLO
Dog Shit III
SUPPORT
Jalopy
OVR
Platinum III
SUPPORT
Gold II
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 137 · 69% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Obsidian I
SUPPORT
Master II
ORDER (WIN) 16 kills Team Δ +30.6
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE OFF-ROLE | TT | 2/4/5 | 1.75 | -8 | ▲ +5.4 | -2 | 7 | |
| ADC SECONDARY | Jonhy0700 | 5/9/4 | 1.00 | 76 | ▲ +3.3 | 80 | 159 | |
| MID | Boolougames | 7/4/6 | 3.25 | 90 | ▲ +10.6 | 100 | 84 | |
| SOLO SECONDARY | RogueThrone C | 1/6/7 | 1.33 | -115 | ▲ +4.9 | -110 | 99 | |
| SUPPORT | Jalopy | 1/8/11 | 1.50 | 84 | ▲ +6.4 | 91 | 23 |
CHAOS (LOSS) 31 kills Team Δ -30.6
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 6/3/16 | 7.33 | 46 | ▼ -4.9 | 41 | 171 | |
| ADC | i cant read | 6/3/7 | 4.33 | -3 | ▼ -8.1 | -11 | 42 | |
| MID SECONDARY | Edgewing TOP DMG | 6/4/14 | 5.00 | -25 | ▼ -7.2 | -32 | 30 | |
| SOLO | SSaiyanBlu MVP | 6/2/13 | 9.50 | -24 | ▼ -3.4 | -27 | 14 | |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer C | 7/4/11 | 4.50 | 171 | ▼ -7.0 | 164 | 116 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 2
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jalopy | Platinum III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | TT | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | i cant read | Poo Poo I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Silver II | Platinum III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Gold I | Amber II PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | SSaiyanBlu | Dog Shit II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Edgewing | Dog Shit III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Boolougames | Platinum III | Platinum I |
| SOLO | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | Poo Poo III |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Obsidian I | Master II |
What changed vs actual draft
- Jalopy: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER JUNGLE
- Jonhy0700: ORDER ADC → ORDER SUPPORT
- TT: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER ADC
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- i cant read: CHAOS ADC → ORDER MID
- RogueThrone: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS SOLO
- Boolougames: ORDER MID → CHAOS MID
- Edgewing: CHAOS MID → CHAOS ADC
- SSaiyanBlu: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS JUNGLE