04/16/2026 · Match #6 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by TTMara on 4/25/2026, 7:19:34 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 30:27
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2749829322?t=3h38m5s @ 13085s
Balance Analysis
Based on 13 prior matchesORDER
49% win prob
Δ 4
Balanced
CHAOS
51% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
ELLEONTTV
OVR
Bronze II PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Bronze II PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 13 · 52% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Poo Poo I
JUNGLE
Amber II
ADC
Jonhy0700
OVR
Dog Shit II
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 28 · 54% favored
Kryooo
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
RogueThrone
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 23 · 53% favored
OSteg
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
GTboss94
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 3 · 50% favored
Horrify
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
DeltaJulz613
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 11 · 52% favored
SpideryBacchus9
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -18.7
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | ELLEONTTV | Awilix | 15 | 9 | 8 | 22 | -1.3 | 21 | 3 |
| ADC OFF-ROLE | Jonhy0700 C | Cupid | 3 | 9 | 3 | -23 | -5.3 | -28 | 13 |
| MID THIRD | RogueThrone | Agni | 2 | 8 | 10 | -42 | -5.0 | -47 | 7 |
| SOLO NEW | GTboss94 | Sun Wukong | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | -4.4 | -1 | 1 |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | DeltaJulz613 | Sobek | 5 | 8 | 13 | 10 | -2.7 | 7 | 6 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +29.7
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Ratatoskr | 11 | 4 | 18 | -3 | +9.0 | 6 | 13 |
| ADC SECONDARY | Kryooo C TOP DMG | Cernunnos | 13 | 6 | 9 | 5 | +4.8 | 10 | 9 |
| MID SECONDARY | OSteg | Kukulkan | 7 | 4 | 16 | -3 | +7.0 | 4 | 9 |
| SOLO | Horrify | Anubis | 13 | 6 | 7 | 3 | +4.0 | 7 | 4 |
| SUPPORT | SpideryBacchus9 | Sylvanus | 0 | 6 | 16 | -11 | +4.8 | -6 | 4 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Poo Poo I | Amber II |
| ADC | RogueThrone | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | GTboss94 | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | ELLEONTTV | Bronze II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | OSteg | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | DeltaJulz613 | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Horrify | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | Dog Shit II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Kryooo | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | SpideryBacchus9 | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- ELLEONTTV: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- GTboss94: ORDER SOLO → ORDER MID
- RogueThrone: ORDER MID → ORDER ADC
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER JUNGLE
- OSteg: CHAOS MID → ORDER SUPPORT
- Jonhy0700: ORDER ADC → CHAOS MID
- DeltaJulz613: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Kryooo: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS SOLO
- Horrify: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS ADC