04/17/2026 · Match #19 · Conquest UNCONFIRMED
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2749829322?t=3h38m5s @ 13085s
Balance Analysis
Based on 16 prior matchesORDER
48% win prob
Δ 17
Balanced
CHAOS
52% win prob
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -61.6
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MID | RogueThrone | Agni | 2 | 8 | 10 | -53 | -12.9 | -66 | 9 |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | DeltaJulz613 | Sobek | 5 | 8 | 13 | 12 | -12.8 | 0 | 6 |
| ADC THIRD | Jonhy0700 | Cupid | 3 | 9 | 3 | -33 | -9.7 | -43 | 15 |
| JUNGLE NEW | ELLEONTTV | Awilix | 15 | 9 | 8 | 62 | -14.5 | 48 | 3 |
| SOLO NEW | GTboss94 | Sun Wukong | 1 | 10 | 6 | 16 | -11.7 | 4 | 1 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +92.9
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Ratatoskr | 11 | 4 | 18 | -22 | +21.6 | -1 | 16 |
| ADC SECONDARY | Kryooo | Cernunnos | 13 | 6 | 9 | 39 | +17.8 | 57 | 12 |
| SUPPORT NEW | SpideryBacchus9 | Sylvanus | 0 | 6 | 16 | -11 | +14.7 | 4 | 4 |
| SOLO NEW | Horrify | Anubis | 13 | 6 | 7 | 31 | +15.7 | 47 | 4 |
| MID THIRD | OSteg | Kukulkan | 7 | 4 | 16 | 51 | +23.2 | 74 | 9 |
Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 3
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| MID | OSteg | 51 |
| SUPPORT | DeltaJulz613 | 12 |
| ADC | Jonhy0700 | -33 |
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | -22 |
| SOLO | Horrify | 31 |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| MID | RogueThrone | -53 |
| SUPPORT | SpideryBacchus9 | -11 |
| ADC | Kryooo | 39 |
| JUNGLE | ELLEONTTV | 62 |
| SOLO | GTboss94 | 16 |
What changed vs actual draft
- OSteg: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER JUNGLE
- Horrify: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SOLO