CHAOS WIN
UPSET
05/21/2026 · Match #1 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/22/2026, 12:23:19 PM
Kills
55 – 43
MVP · best KDA
SSaiyanBlu 3/4/26
Biggest Elo gain
Boolougames +8.4
Biggest Elo drop
Weak3n -6.8
Balance Analysis
Based on 164 prior matchesORDER
54% win prob
Δ 27
Lean ORDER
UPSET — underdog won
CHAOS
46% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 100% Order / 0% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Platinum III
JUNGLE
Silver III
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 47 · 57% favored
GTboss94
OVR
Dog Shit I
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Edgewing
OVR
Dog Shit I
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 3 · 50% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Silver III
ADC
Poo Poo III
MID
SoyZangano
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 69 · 60% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Gold III
MID
Gold II
SOLO
SSaiyanBlu
OVR
Dog Shit II
SOLO
Dog Shit II
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 67 · 60% favored
OSteg
OVR
Bronze II
SOLO
Silver II
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR
Master III
SUPPORT
Master I
MISMATCH — Order
gap 214 · 77% favored
PrimeMinisterCyN
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) 55 kills Team Δ -23.8
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 18/9/15 | 3.67 | 88 | ▼ -6.8 | 81 | 164 | |
| ADC THIRD | Edgewing | 22/12/14 | 3.00 | -19 | ▼ -4.0 | -23 | 28 | |
| MID NEW | SoyZangano | 4/8/20 | 3.00 | 0 | ▼ -4.5 | -4 | 2 | |
| SOLO | SSaiyanBlu MVP | 3/4/26 | 7.25 | -22 | ▼ -3.0 | -25 | 11 | |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer C | 8/10/30 | 3.80 | 194 | ▼ -5.4 | 189 | 109 |
CHAOS (WIN) 43 kills Team Δ +32.3
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE OFF-ROLE | GTboss94 | 3/14/12 | 1.07 | -15 | ▲ +3.2 | -12 | 17 | |
| ADC SECONDARY | Jonhy0700 TOP DMG | 19/12/8 | 2.25 | 37 | ▲ +7.7 | 45 | 152 | |
| MID | Boolougames C | 11/8/10 | 2.63 | 59 | ▲ +8.4 | 67 | 79 | |
| SOLO SECONDARY | OSteg | 5/9/9 | 1.56 | 27 | ▲ +5.2 | 32 | 78 | |
| SUPPORT NEW | PrimeMinisterCyN | 5/12/19 | 2.00 | -3 | ▲ +7.8 | 5 | 1 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | SSaiyanBlu | Dog Shit II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Edgewing | Dog Shit I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | GTboss94 | Dog Shit I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | OSteg | Bronze II | Silver II |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Master III | Master I |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | SoyZangano | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | PrimeMinisterCyN | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Boolougames | Gold III | Gold II |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Platinum III | Platinum III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Silver III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- SSaiyanBlu: ORDER SOLO → ORDER JUNGLE
- GTboss94: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER MID
- OSteg: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SOLO
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- SoyZangano: ORDER MID → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS SUPPORT
- PrimeMinisterCyN: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS ADC
Notes / Flags
- SoyZangano [weak3n_said]: your a grown adult going nyanyanyanya
- SoyZangano [shitter]: trolling / took fire dagger / said weird stuff / acting like a child / bottom dmg in the game