05/21/2026 · Match #1 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/22/2026, 12:23:19 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 47:41
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2777748027?t=00h19m07s @ 1147s
Balance Analysis
Based on 164 prior matchesORDER
54% win prob
Δ 27
Lean ORDER
UPSET — underdog won
CHAOS
46% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Platinum III
JUNGLE
Silver III
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 47 · 57% favored
GTboss94
OVR
Dog Shit I
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Edgewing
OVR
Dog Shit I
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 3 · 50% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Silver III
ADC
Poo Poo III
MID
SoyZangano
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 69 · 60% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Gold III
MID
Gold II
SOLO
SSaiyanBlu
OVR
Dog Shit II
SOLO
Dog Shit II
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 67 · 60% favored
OSteg
OVR
Bronze II
SOLO
Silver II
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR
Master II
SUPPORT
Master I
MISMATCH — Order
gap 214 · 77% favored
PrimeMinisterCyN
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -23.8
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Ullr | 18 | 9 | 15 | 88 | -6.8 | 81 | 164 |
| ADC THIRD | Edgewing | Cupid | 22 | 12 | 14 | -19 | -4.0 | -23 | 28 |
| MID NEW | SoyZangano | The Morrigan | 4 | 8 | 20 | 0 | -4.5 | -4 | 2 |
| SOLO | SSaiyanBlu | Thor | 3 | 4 | 26 | -22 | -3.0 | -25 | 11 |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer C | Sobek | 8 | 10 | 30 | 194 | -5.4 | 189 | 109 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +32.3
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE OFF-ROLE | GTboss94 | Fenrir | 3 | 14 | 12 | -15 | +3.2 | -12 | 17 |
| ADC SECONDARY | Jonhy0700 TOP DMG | Hou Yi | 19 | 12 | 8 | 37 | +7.7 | 45 | 152 |
| MID | Boolougames C | Discordia | 11 | 8 | 10 | 59 | +8.4 | 67 | 79 |
| SOLO SECONDARY | OSteg | Jormungandr | 5 | 9 | 9 | 27 | +5.2 | 32 | 78 |
| SUPPORT NEW | PrimeMinisterCyN | Ares | 5 | 12 | 19 | -3 | +7.8 | 5 | 1 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | SSaiyanBlu | Dog Shit II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Edgewing | Dog Shit I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | GTboss94 | Dog Shit I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | OSteg | Bronze II | Silver II |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Master II | Master I |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | SoyZangano | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | PrimeMinisterCyN | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Boolougames | Gold III | Gold II |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Platinum III | Platinum III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Silver III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- SSaiyanBlu: ORDER SOLO → ORDER JUNGLE
- GTboss94: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER MID
- OSteg: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SOLO
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- SoyZangano: ORDER MID → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS SUPPORT
- PrimeMinisterCyN: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS ADC
Notes / Flags
- SoyZangano [weak3n_said]: your a grown adult going nyanyanyanya
- SoyZangano [shitter]: trolling / took fire dagger / said weird stuff / acting like a child / bottom dmg in the game