04/16/2026 · Match #5 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by TTMara on 4/25/2026, 7:25:38 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 26:27
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2749829322?t=2h56m43s @ 10603s
Balance Analysis
Based on 12 prior matchesORDER
49% win prob
Δ 5
Balanced
CHAOS
51% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Poo Poo I
JUNGLE
Amber I
EVEN
gap 4 · 51% favored
ELLEONTTV
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber I PLACEMENT
ADC
Kryooo
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber II PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 8 · 51% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Dog Shit II
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
RogueThrone
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 10 · 51% favored
DeltaJulz613
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
SpideryBacchus9
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 2 · 50% favored
Horrify
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
iRoFFLe
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 8 · 51% favored
GTboss94
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -25.3
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Hou Yi | 9 | 7 | 3 | -1 | -2.2 | -3 | 12 |
| ADC THIRD | Kryooo | Ullr | 5 | 7 | 5 | 8 | -2.7 | 5 | 8 |
| MID OFF-ROLE | RogueThrone C | Vulcan | 0 | 8 | 2 | -29 | -12.8 | -42 | 6 |
| SOLO OFF-ROLE | SpideryBacchus9 | Jormungandr | 1 | 7 | 2 | -6 | -4.3 | -11 | 3 |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | Ganesha | 0 | 6 | 5 | -8 | -3.3 | -11 | 4 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +29.6
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | ELLEONTTV | Gilgamesh | 11 | 2 | 17 | 15 | +7.4 | 22 | 2 |
| ADC OFF-ROLE | Jonhy0700 TOP DMG | Anhur | 9 | 6 | 11 | -25 | +1.8 | -23 | 12 |
| MID | DeltaJulz613 C | Nut | 7 | 1 | 15 | -1 | +11.5 | 10 | 5 |
| SOLO | Horrify | Mercury | 4 | 2 | 13 | -2 | +5.1 | 3 | 3 |
| SUPPORT NEW | GTboss94 | Athena | 4 | 4 | 18 | 0 | +3.8 | 4 | 0 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | SpideryBacchus9 | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | iRoFFLe | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | Dog Shit II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | RogueThrone | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | DeltaJulz613 | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Poo Poo I | Amber I |
| ADC | Horrify | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | ELLEONTTV | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Kryooo | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | GTboss94 | rookie | |
What changed vs actual draft
- SpideryBacchus9: ORDER SOLO → ORDER JUNGLE
- RogueThrone: ORDER MID → ORDER SOLO
- iRoFFLe: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER ADC
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS ADC → ORDER MID
- DeltaJulz613: CHAOS MID → ORDER SUPPORT
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Kryooo: ORDER ADC → CHAOS SOLO
- ELLEONTTV: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS MID
- Horrify: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS ADC