04/17/2026 · Match #18 · Conquest UNCONFIRMED
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2749829322?t=2h56m43s @ 10603s
Balance Analysis
Based on 15 prior matchesORDER
50% win prob
Δ 3
Balanced
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -55.5
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Hou Yi | 9 | 7 | 3 | -10 | -12.1 | -22 | 15 |
| MID | RogueThrone | Vulcan | 0 | 8 | 2 | -42 | -10.7 | -53 | 8 |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | Ganesha | 0 | 6 | 5 | -21 | -11.2 | -33 | 6 |
| ADC SECONDARY | Kryooo | Ullr | 5 | 7 | 5 | 50 | -10.7 | 39 | 11 |
| SOLO NEW | SpideryBacchus9 | Jormungandr | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | -10.9 | -11 | 3 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +97.6
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MID | DeltaJulz613 | Nut | 7 | 1 | 15 | -12 | +23.8 | 12 | 5 |
| SOLO NEW | Horrify | Mercury | 4 | 2 | 13 | 13 | +18.4 | 31 | 3 |
| ADC THIRD | Jonhy0700 | Anhur | 9 | 6 | 11 | -49 | +16.3 | -33 | 14 |
| JUNGLE NEW | ELLEONTTV | Gilgamesh | 11 | 2 | 17 | 39 | +23.5 | 62 | 2 |
| SUPPORT NEW | GTboss94 | Athena | 4 | 4 | 18 | 0 | +15.6 | 16 | 0 |
Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 2
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | -10 |
| MID | RogueThrone | -42 |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | -21 |
| ADC | Kryooo | 50 |
| SOLO | Horrify | 13 |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | ELLEONTTV | 39 |
| MID | DeltaJulz613 | -12 |
| SUPPORT | GTboss94 | rookie |
| ADC | Jonhy0700 | -49 |
| SOLO | SpideryBacchus9 | 0 |
What changed vs actual draft
- Horrify: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SOLO