CHAOS WIN
05/18/2026 · Match #3 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/19/2026, 1:26:46 PM
Kills
29 – 42
MVP · best KDA
Weak3n 11/5/15
Biggest Elo gain
SSaiyanBlu +7.8
Biggest Elo drop
Boolougames -6.4
Balance Analysis
Based on 151 prior matchesORDER
53% win prob
Δ 24
Balanced
CHAOS
47% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 100% Order / 0% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Edgewing
OVR
Poo Poo III
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 88 · 62% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Platinum I
JUNGLE
Gold III
ADC
ANHURRRRR
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber II PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 44 · 56% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Amber I
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MID
Boolougames
OVR
Gold I
MID
Platinum II
MISMATCH — Order
gap 115 · 66% favored
OSteg
OVR
Amber I
MID
Dog Shit I
SOLO
Riptzer
OVR
Obsidian I
SOLO
Amber I
EVEN
gap 10 · 51% favored
SSaiyanBlu
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
PrimeMinisterCyN
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 8 · 51% favored
TramboneKing
OVR
Dog Shit I
SUPPORT
Amber II PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) 29 kills Team Δ -26.5
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE OFF-ROLE | Edgewing | 8/16/8 | 1.00 | -13 | ▼ -5.6 | -19 | 27 | |
| ADC | ANHURRRRR | 9/6/2 | 1.83 | 6 | ▼ -5.4 | 0 | 3 | |
| MID | Boolougames | 3/6/8 | 1.83 | 74 | ▼ -6.4 | 67 | 68 | |
| SOLO THIRD | Riptzer C | 6/8/8 | 1.75 | 174 | ▼ -6.2 | 168 | 101 | |
| SUPPORT NEW | PrimeMinisterCyN | 3/6/16 | 3.17 | 0 | ▼ -2.8 | -3 | 0 |
CHAOS (WIN) 42 kills Team Δ +32.1
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n MVP | 11/5/15 | 5.20 | 108 | ▲ +7.0 | 115 | 151 | |
| ADC THIRD | Jonhy0700 C | 16/6/8 | 4.00 | 15 | ▲ +5.8 | 21 | 141 | |
| MID SECONDARY | OSteg TOP DMG | 10/7/25 | 5.00 | 11 | ▲ +6.5 | 18 | 68 | |
| SOLO NEW | SSaiyanBlu | 3/4/17 | 5.00 | 3 | ▲ +7.8 | 11 | 2 | |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | TramboneKing | 2/8/20 | 2.75 | -17 | ▲ +5.0 | -12 | 13 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
51% win prob
Δ 4
most balanced split
CHAOS
49% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | ANHURRRRR | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Edgewing | Poo Poo III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Riptzer | Obsidian I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | SSaiyanBlu | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | TramboneKing | Dog Shit I | Amber II PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | OSteg | Amber I | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| ADC | PrimeMinisterCyN | rookie | |
| MID | Boolougames | Gold I | Platinum II |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Platinum I | Platinum III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Amber I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- ANHURRRRR: ORDER ADC → ORDER JUNGLE
- Edgewing: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER ADC
- Riptzer: ORDER SOLO → ORDER MID
- TramboneKing: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SUPPORT
- SSaiyanBlu: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SOLO
- Boolougames: ORDER MID → CHAOS MID
- PrimeMinisterCyN: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS ADC
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS SUPPORT
- OSteg: CHAOS MID → CHAOS JUNGLE