05/18/2026 · Match #3 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/19/2026, 1:26:46 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 47:47
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2775409914?t=02h09m21s @ 7761s
Balance Analysis
Based on 151 prior matchesORDER
53% win prob
Δ 24
Balanced
CHAOS
47% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Edgewing
OVR
Poo Poo III
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 88 · 62% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Platinum I
JUNGLE
Gold III
ADC
ANHURRRRR
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber II PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 44 · 56% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Amber I
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MID
Boolougames
OVR
Gold I
MID
Platinum II
MISMATCH — Order
gap 115 · 66% favored
OSteg
OVR
Amber I
MID
Dog Shit I
SOLO
Riptzer
OVR
Obsidian I
SOLO
Amber I
EVEN
gap 10 · 51% favored
SSaiyanBlu
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
PrimeMinisterCyN
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 8 · 51% favored
TramboneKing
OVR
Dog Shit I
SUPPORT
Amber II PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -26.5
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE OFF-ROLE | Edgewing | Thor | 8 | 16 | 8 | -13 | -5.6 | -19 | 27 |
| ADC | ANHURRRRR | Anhur | 9 | 6 | 2 | 6 | -5.4 | 0 | 3 |
| MID | Boolougames | Eset | 3 | 6 | 8 | 74 | -6.4 | 67 | 68 |
| SOLO THIRD | Riptzer C | Atlas | 6 | 8 | 8 | 174 | -6.2 | 168 | 101 |
| SUPPORT NEW | PrimeMinisterCyN | Sobek | 3 | 6 | 16 | 0 | -2.8 | -3 | 0 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +32.1
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Cabrakan | 11 | 5 | 15 | 108 | +7.0 | 115 | 151 |
| ADC THIRD | Jonhy0700 C | Hou Yi | 16 | 6 | 8 | 15 | +5.8 | 21 | 141 |
| MID SECONDARY | OSteg TOP DMG | Nut | 10 | 7 | 25 | 11 | +6.5 | 18 | 68 |
| SOLO NEW | SSaiyanBlu | Osiris | 3 | 4 | 17 | 3 | +7.8 | 11 | 2 |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | TramboneKing | Khepri | 2 | 8 | 20 | -17 | +5.0 | -12 | 13 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
51% win prob
Δ 4
most balanced split
CHAOS
49% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | ANHURRRRR | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Edgewing | Poo Poo III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Riptzer | Obsidian I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | SSaiyanBlu | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | TramboneKing | Dog Shit I | Amber II PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | OSteg | Amber I | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| ADC | PrimeMinisterCyN | rookie | |
| MID | Boolougames | Gold I | Platinum II |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Platinum I | Platinum III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Amber I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- ANHURRRRR: ORDER ADC → ORDER JUNGLE
- Edgewing: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER ADC
- Riptzer: ORDER SOLO → ORDER MID
- TramboneKing: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SUPPORT
- SSaiyanBlu: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SOLO
- Boolougames: ORDER MID → CHAOS MID
- PrimeMinisterCyN: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS ADC
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS SUPPORT
- OSteg: CHAOS MID → CHAOS JUNGLE