04/16/2026 · Match #4 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by TTMara on 4/25/2026, 7:30:40 PM
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 23:53
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2749829322?t=2h20m43s @ 8443s
Balance Analysis
Based on 11 prior matchesORDER
52% win prob
Δ 11
Balanced
CHAOS
48% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
ELLEONTTV
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 16 · 52% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Amber III
JUNGLE
Bronze III PLACEMENT
ADC
Kryooo
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 23 · 53% favored
RogueThrone
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
DeltaJulz613
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 11 · 52% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Dog Shit II
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Horrify
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 32 · 55% favored
KingSaber
OVR
Bronze II PLACEMENT
SOLO
Bronze II PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
sillyslother
OVR
Silver III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Bronze III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 25 · 54% favored
iRoFFLe
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +29.0
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | ELLEONTTV | Hua Mulan | 5 | 0 | 21 | 6 | +8.8 | 15 | 1 |
| ADC OFF-ROLE | Kryooo | Apollo | 8 | 1 | 9 | 1 | +6.1 | 8 | 7 |
| MID | DeltaJulz613 | Morgan Le Fay | 7 | 3 | 10 | -3 | +2.0 | -1 | 4 |
| SOLO NEW | Horrify C TOP DMG | Anubis | 11 | 3 | 5 | -4 | +1.8 | -2 | 2 |
| SUPPORT | sillyslother | Sobek | 3 | 1 | 19 | 37 | +10.3 | 47 | 5 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -29.0
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Ganesha | 1 | 7 | 4 | 4 | -4.9 | -1 | 11 |
| ADC | RogueThrone | Hou Yi | 2 | 5 | 0 | -23 | -6.9 | -29 | 5 |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | Agni | 2 | 7 | 4 | -21 | -4.0 | -25 | 11 |
| SOLO | KingSaber C | Achilles | 2 | 8 | 1 | 23 | -9.5 | 13 | 7 |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | Yemoja | 1 | 7 | 4 | -4 | -3.7 | -8 | 3 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | ELLEONTTV | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | sillyslother | Silver III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | iRoFFLe | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | RogueThrone | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | DeltaJulz613 | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Amber III | Bronze III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Horrify | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | Dog Shit II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | KingSaber | Bronze II PLACEMENT | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Kryooo | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- sillyslother: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER ADC
- DeltaJulz613: ORDER MID → ORDER SUPPORT
- RogueThrone: CHAOS ADC → ORDER SOLO
- iRoFFLe: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER MID
- Kryooo: ORDER ADC → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Horrify: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS ADC