04/17/2026 · Match #17 · Conquest UNCONFIRMED
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2749829322?t=2h20m43s @ 8443s
Balance Analysis
Based on 14 prior matchesORDER
54% win prob
Δ 29
Slight edge
CHAOS
46% win prob
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +97.9
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SUPPORT | sillyslother | Sobek | 3 | 1 | 19 | 96 | +22.0 | 118 | 8 |
| MID NEW | DeltaJulz613 | Morgan Le Fay | 7 | 3 | 10 | -25 | +13.2 | -12 | 4 |
| ADC OFF-ROLE | Kryooo | Apollo | 8 | 1 | 9 | 22 | +27.9 | 50 | 10 |
| SOLO NEW | Horrify | Anubis | 11 | 3 | 5 | 0 | +13.0 | 13 | 2 |
| JUNGLE NEW | ELLEONTTV | Hua Mulan | 5 | 0 | 21 | 17 | +22.0 | 39 | 1 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -48.4
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Ganesha | 1 | 7 | 4 | 0 | -9.9 | -10 | 14 |
| ADC SECONDARY | RogueThrone | Hou Yi | 2 | 5 | 0 | -33 | -8.8 | -42 | 7 |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | Yemoja | 1 | 7 | 4 | -11 | -9.9 | -21 | 5 |
| SOLO | KingSaber | Achilles | 2 | 8 | 1 | 48 | -9.7 | 38 | 9 |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | Agni | 2 | 7 | 4 | -39 | -10.0 | -49 | 13 |
Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| SUPPORT | sillyslother | 96 |
| MID | DeltaJulz613 | -25 |
| ADC | RogueThrone | -33 |
| SOLO | Horrify | 0 |
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 0 |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | -11 |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | -39 |
| ADC | Kryooo | 22 |
| SOLO | KingSaber | 48 |
| JUNGLE | ELLEONTTV | 17 |
What changed vs actual draft
- RogueThrone: CHAOS ADC → ORDER ADC
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER JUNGLE