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ORDER WIN

05/18/2026 · Match #2 · Conquest

CONFIRMED Weak3n: WITH ⏱ 28:14 ▶ Watch VOD

Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/19/2026, 1:15:26 PM

Kills 3113
MVP · best KDA AlphaClaps 7/2/13
Biggest Elo gain AlphaClaps +7.2
Biggest Elo drop OSteg -7.1

Balance Analysis

Based on 150 prior matches
ORDER
48
51% win prob
Δ 9
Balanced
CHAOS
39
49% win prob
51%
49%
Order win probChaos win prob

Calibrated model prediction: 100% Order / 0% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).

Lane Matchups

Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.

JUNGLE
Jonhy0700
OVR Amber II
JUNGLE ROFFLE Tier
MISMATCH — Chaos gap 98 · 64% favored
Weak3n
OVR Diamond III
JUNGLE Gold III
ADC
ANHURRRRR
OVR Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN gap 5 · 51% favored
i cant read
OVR Amber III
ADC Amber II
MID
AlphaClaps
OVR Gold II
MID Bronze I PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos gap 69 · 60% favored
Boolougames
OVR Gold I
MID Platinum II
SOLO
SSaiyanBlu
OVR Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos gap 37 · 55% favored
OSteg
OVR Bronze III
SOLO Silver III
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR Obsidian I
SUPPORT Obsidian I
MISMATCH — Order gap 158 · 71% favored
TramboneKing
OVR Dog Shit I
SUPPORT Amber II PLACEMENT

ORDER (WIN) 31 kills Team Δ +29.2

RolePlayerGodK/D/AKDA BeforeΔAfterGP
JUNGLE Jonhy0700 14/3/9 7.67 9 ▲ +5.8 15 140
ADC NEW ANHURRRRR 4/2/12 8.00 0 ▲ +5.4 6 2
MID OFF-ROLE AlphaClaps MVP TOP DMG 7/2/13 10.00 65 ▲ +7.2 72 49
SOLO NEW SSaiyanBlu C 3/3/14 5.67 -2 ▲ +4.8 3 1
SUPPORT Riptzer 3/3/16 6.33 168 ▲ +6.0 174 100

CHAOS (LOSS) 13 kills Team Δ -20.5

RolePlayerGodK/D/AKDA BeforeΔAfterGP
JUNGLE Weak3n 6/7/5 1.57 111 ▼ -3.1 108 150
ADC i cant read 1/5/6 1.40 3 ▼ -4.1 -1 32
MID Boolougames 2/7/6 1.14 78 ▼ -4.5 74 67
SOLO SECONDARY OSteg 2/5/0 0.40 18 ▼ -7.1 11 67
SUPPORT SECONDARY TramboneKing C 2/7/7 1.29 -16 ▼ -1.6 -17 12

Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers

Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split

ORDER
44
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
44
50% win prob

ORDER · optimal

RolePlayerOverallIn Role
JUNGLE ANHURRRRR Amber III PLACEMENT Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC i cant read Amber III Amber II
MID Riptzer Obsidian I Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO TramboneKing Dog Shit I Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT AlphaClaps Gold II Bronze I PLACEMENT

CHAOS · optimal

RolePlayerOverallIn Role
JUNGLE OSteg Bronze III Amber II PLACEMENT
ADC SSaiyanBlu Amber III PLACEMENT Amber III PLACEMENT
MID Boolougames Gold I Platinum II
SOLO Weak3n Diamond III Platinum III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT Jonhy0700 Amber II Amber III PLACEMENT

What changed vs actual draft

Notes / Flags