05/18/2026 · Match #2 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/19/2026, 1:15:26 PM
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 28:14
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2775409914?t=01h20m01s @ 4801s
Balance Analysis
Based on 150 prior matchesORDER
51% win prob
Δ 9
Balanced
CHAOS
49% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Jonhy0700
OVR
Amber II
JUNGLE
ROFFLE Tier
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 98 · 64% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond III
JUNGLE
Gold III
ADC
ANHURRRRR
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 5 · 51% favored
i cant read
OVR
Amber III
ADC
Amber II
MID
AlphaClaps
OVR
Gold II
MID
Bronze I PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 69 · 60% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Gold I
MID
Platinum II
SOLO
SSaiyanBlu
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 37 · 55% favored
OSteg
OVR
Bronze III
SOLO
Silver III
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR
Obsidian I
SUPPORT
Obsidian I
MISMATCH — Order
gap 158 · 71% favored
TramboneKing
OVR
Dog Shit I
SUPPORT
Amber II PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +29.2
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 | Hun Batz | 14 | 3 | 9 | 9 | +5.8 | 15 | 140 |
| ADC NEW | ANHURRRRR | Anhur | 4 | 2 | 12 | 0 | +5.4 | 6 | 2 |
| MID OFF-ROLE | AlphaClaps TOP DMG | Eset | 7 | 2 | 13 | 65 | +7.2 | 72 | 49 |
| SOLO NEW | SSaiyanBlu C | Hua Mulan | 3 | 3 | 14 | -2 | +4.8 | 3 | 1 |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Atlas | 3 | 3 | 16 | 168 | +6.0 | 174 | 100 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -20.5
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Ne Zha | 6 | 7 | 5 | 111 | -3.1 | 108 | 150 |
| ADC | i cant read | Jing Wei | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 | -4.1 | -1 | 32 |
| MID | Boolougames | Zeus | 2 | 7 | 6 | 78 | -4.5 | 74 | 67 |
| SOLO SECONDARY | OSteg | Achilles | 2 | 5 | 0 | 18 | -7.1 | 11 | 67 |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | TramboneKing C | Ares | 2 | 7 | 7 | -16 | -1.6 | -17 | 12 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | ANHURRRRR | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | i cant read | Amber III | Amber II |
| MID | Riptzer | Obsidian I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | TramboneKing | Dog Shit I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | AlphaClaps | Gold II | Bronze I PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | OSteg | Bronze III | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| ADC | SSaiyanBlu | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Boolougames | Gold I | Platinum II |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond III | Platinum III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Amber II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- ANHURRRRR: ORDER ADC → ORDER JUNGLE
- Riptzer: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER MID
- AlphaClaps: ORDER MID → ORDER SUPPORT
- TramboneKing: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SOLO
- i cant read: CHAOS ADC → ORDER ADC
- Jonhy0700: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS SUPPORT
- SSaiyanBlu: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS ADC
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- OSteg: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS JUNGLE
Notes / Flags
- i cant read [weak3n_said]: i dont want to have to tell you guys how to use your abilities man, this is way to easy for you to be fucking it up
- i cant read [shitter]: missed abilities on no beads anhur