ORDER WIN
UPSET
05/18/2026 · Match #1 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/19/2026, 1:03:52 PM
Kills
33 – 14
MVP · best KDA
AlphaClaps 16/0/9
Biggest Elo gain
AlphaClaps +18.0
Biggest Elo drop
OSteg -6.6
Balance Analysis
Based on 149 prior matchesORDER
43% win prob
Δ 47
Lean CHAOS
UPSET — underdog won
CHAOS
57% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 3% Order / 97% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
AlphaClaps
OVR
Silver II
JUNGLE
Amber II
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 63 · 59% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond III
JUNGLE
Gold II
ADC
Jonhy0700
OVR
Amber II
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 48 · 57% favored
i cant read
OVR
Amber II
ADC
Amber II
MID
Boolougames
OVR
Gold I
MID
Platinum II
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 49 · 57% favored
sillyslother
OVR
Platinum II
MID
Silver II PLACEMENT
SOLO
Edgewing
OVR
Dog Shit I
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 66 · 59% favored
OSteg
OVR
Bronze II
SOLO
Silver III
SUPPORT
Jalopy
OVR
Gold II
SUPPORT
Silver I
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 120 · 67% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Obsidian I
SUPPORT
Obsidian I
ORDER (WIN) 33 kills Team Δ +34.0
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | AlphaClaps MVP C | 16/0/9 | 25.00 | 47 | ▲ +18.0 | 65 | 48 | |
| ADC THIRD | Jonhy0700 | 4/5/6 | 2.00 | 7 | ▲ +2.0 | 9 | 139 | |
| MID | Boolougames | 5/3/10 | 5.00 | 75 | ▲ +3.4 | 78 | 66 | |
| SOLO SECONDARY | Edgewing TOP DMG | 6/3/12 | 6.00 | -18 | ▲ +4.5 | -13 | 26 | |
| SUPPORT | Jalopy | 2/3/18 | 6.67 | 67 | ▲ +6.2 | 74 | 20 |
CHAOS (LOSS) 14 kills Team Δ -22.4
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 3/7/5 | 1.14 | 116 | ▼ -4.7 | 111 | 149 | |
| ADC | i cant read | 6/5/3 | 1.80 | 6 | ▼ -2.7 | 3 | 31 | |
| MID OFF-ROLE | sillyslother | 3/8/1 | 0.50 | 96 | ▼ -5.0 | 91 | 62 | |
| SOLO SECONDARY | OSteg | 0/9/3 | 0.33 | 25 | ▼ -6.6 | 18 | 66 | |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer C | 2/7/7 | 1.29 | 171 | ▼ -3.4 | 168 | 99 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jalopy | Gold II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Edgewing | Dog Shit I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Riptzer | Obsidian I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | OSteg | Bronze II | Silver III |
| SUPPORT | AlphaClaps | Silver II | Bronze I PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | i cant read | Amber II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | sillyslother | Platinum II | Silver III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Boolougames | Gold I | Platinum II |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond III | Platinum III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Amber II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Edgewing: ORDER SOLO → ORDER ADC
- Jalopy: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER JUNGLE
- AlphaClaps: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SUPPORT
- Riptzer: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER MID
- OSteg: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SOLO
- Jonhy0700: ORDER ADC → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Boolougames: ORDER MID → CHAOS MID
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- sillyslother: CHAOS MID → CHAOS ADC
- i cant read: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS JUNGLE
Notes / Flags
- sillyslother [shitter]: bad build
- OSteg [shitter]: doesnt know how to play agni solo