05/18/2026 · Match #1 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/19/2026, 1:03:52 PM
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 26:49
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2775409914?t=00h43m41s @ 2621s
Balance Analysis
Based on 149 prior matchesORDER
43% win prob
Δ 47
Lean CHAOS
UPSET — underdog won
CHAOS
57% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
AlphaClaps
OVR
Silver II
JUNGLE
Amber II
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 63 · 59% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond III
JUNGLE
Gold II
ADC
Jonhy0700
OVR
Amber II
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 48 · 57% favored
i cant read
OVR
Amber II
ADC
Amber II
MID
Boolougames
OVR
Gold I
MID
Platinum II
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 49 · 57% favored
sillyslother
OVR
Platinum II
MID
Silver II PLACEMENT
SOLO
Edgewing
OVR
Dog Shit I
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 66 · 59% favored
OSteg
OVR
Bronze II
SOLO
Silver III
SUPPORT
Jalopy
OVR
Gold II
SUPPORT
Silver I
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 120 · 67% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Obsidian I
SUPPORT
Obsidian I
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +34.0
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | AlphaClaps C | Awilix | 16 | 0 | 9 | 47 | +18.0 | 65 | 48 |
| ADC THIRD | Jonhy0700 | Hou Yi | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | +2.0 | 9 | 139 |
| MID | Boolougames | Zeus | 5 | 3 | 10 | 75 | +3.4 | 78 | 66 |
| SOLO SECONDARY | Edgewing TOP DMG | Morgan Le Fay | 6 | 3 | 12 | -18 | +4.5 | -13 | 26 |
| SUPPORT | Jalopy | Bacchus | 2 | 3 | 18 | 67 | +6.2 | 74 | 20 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -22.4
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Hun Batz | 3 | 7 | 5 | 116 | -4.7 | 111 | 149 |
| ADC | i cant read | Rama | 6 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -2.7 | 3 | 31 |
| MID OFF-ROLE | sillyslother | Atlas | 3 | 8 | 1 | 96 | -5.0 | 91 | 62 |
| SOLO SECONDARY | OSteg | Agni | 0 | 9 | 3 | 25 | -6.6 | 18 | 66 |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer C | Loki | 2 | 7 | 7 | 171 | -3.4 | 168 | 99 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jalopy | Gold II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Edgewing | Dog Shit I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Riptzer | Obsidian I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | OSteg | Bronze II | Silver III |
| SUPPORT | AlphaClaps | Silver II | Bronze I PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | i cant read | Amber II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | sillyslother | Platinum II | Silver III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Boolougames | Gold I | Platinum II |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond III | Platinum III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Amber II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Edgewing: ORDER SOLO → ORDER ADC
- Jalopy: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER JUNGLE
- AlphaClaps: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SUPPORT
- Riptzer: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER MID
- OSteg: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SOLO
- Jonhy0700: ORDER ADC → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Boolougames: ORDER MID → CHAOS MID
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- sillyslother: CHAOS MID → CHAOS ADC
- i cant read: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS JUNGLE
Notes / Flags
- sillyslother [shitter]: bad build
- OSteg [shitter]: doesnt know how to play agni solo