ORDER WIN
05/17/2026 · Match #1 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/18/2026, 1:29:03 PM
Balance Analysis
Based on 143 prior matchesORDER
47% win prob
Δ 18
Balanced
CHAOS
53% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 0% Order / 100% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Heat
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 27 · 54% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Poo Poo II
JUNGLE
Dog Shit III
ADC
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 85 · 62% favored
i cant read
OVR
Amber II
ADC
Amber I
MID
Boolougames
OVR
Gold III
MID
Platinum III
MISMATCH — Order
gap 66 · 59% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond I
MID
Amber I
SOLO
onetimemite5084
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 0 · 50% favored
SSaiyanBlu
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Draiden
OVR
Gold I
SUPPORT
Silver III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 39 · 56% favored
iRoFFLe
OVR
Poo Poo III
SUPPORT
Poo Poo I
ORDER (WIN) 31 kills Team Δ +31.6
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | Heat MVP | 11/2/10 | 10.50 | -7 | ▲ +12.0 | 5 | 1 | |
| ADC | RogueThrone TOP DMG | 9/4/9 | 4.50 | -95 | ▲ +5.1 | -90 | 79 | |
| MID | Boolougames | 4/3/15 | 6.33 | 61 | ▲ +6.8 | 67 | 60 | |
| SOLO NEW | onetimemite5084 | 1/6/13 | 2.33 | -5 | ▲ +3.1 | -2 | 1 | |
| SUPPORT | Draiden C | 6/6/15 | 3.50 | 76 | ▲ +4.6 | 80 | 14 |
CHAOS (LOSS) 21 kills Team Δ -31.6
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 C | 8/9/6 | 1.56 | -7 | ▼ -6.7 | -13 | 134 | |
| ADC | i cant read | 5/5/5 | 2.00 | 8 | ▼ -5.3 | 2 | 29 | |
| MID OFF-ROLE | Weak3n | 1/7/9 | 1.43 | 131 | ▼ -8.1 | 123 | 143 | |
| SOLO NEW | SSaiyanBlu | 6/2/5 | 5.50 | 0 | ▼ -2.0 | -2 | 0 | |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | 1/8/6 | 0.88 | -12 | ▼ -9.4 | -21 | 27 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | SSaiyanBlu | rookie | |
| ADC | Draiden | Gold I | Gold III PLACEMENT |
| MID | onetimemite5084 | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Jonhy0700 | Poo Poo II | Bronze III |
| SUPPORT | i cant read | Amber II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Boolougames | Gold III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Heat | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | Dog Shit III |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond I | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | Poo Poo III | Poo Poo I |
What changed vs actual draft
- onetimemite5084: ORDER SOLO → ORDER MID
- Draiden: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER ADC
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- i cant read: CHAOS ADC → ORDER SUPPORT
- SSaiyanBlu: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER JUNGLE
- RogueThrone: ORDER ADC → CHAOS MID
- Boolougames: ORDER MID → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Heat: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS ADC
- Weak3n: CHAOS MID → CHAOS SOLO