05/17/2026 · Match #1 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/18/2026, 1:29:03 PM
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 29:40
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2774658280?t=00h23m55s @ 1435s
Balance Analysis
Based on 143 prior matchesORDER
47% win prob
Δ 18
Balanced
CHAOS
53% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Heat
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 26 · 54% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Poo Poo II
JUNGLE
Dog Shit III
ADC
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 85 · 62% favored
i cant read
OVR
Amber II
ADC
Amber I
MID
Boolougames
OVR
Gold III
MID
Platinum III
MISMATCH — Order
gap 66 · 59% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond I
MID
Amber I
SOLO
onetimemite5084
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 0 · 50% favored
SSaiyanBlu
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Draiden
OVR
Gold I
SUPPORT
Silver III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 39 · 56% favored
iRoFFLe
OVR
Poo Poo III
SUPPORT
Poo Poo I
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +31.6
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | Heat | Loki | 11 | 2 | 10 | -7 | +12.0 | 5 | 1 |
| ADC | RogueThrone TOP DMG | Anhur | 9 | 4 | 9 | -95 | +5.1 | -90 | 79 |
| MID | Boolougames | Eset | 4 | 3 | 15 | 61 | +6.8 | 67 | 60 |
| SOLO NEW | onetimemite5084 | Hercules | 1 | 6 | 13 | -5 | +3.1 | -2 | 1 |
| SUPPORT | Draiden C | Charon | 6 | 6 | 15 | 76 | +4.6 | 80 | 14 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -31.6
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 C | Thor | 8 | 9 | 6 | -7 | -6.7 | -13 | 134 |
| ADC | i cant read | Artemis | 5 | 5 | 5 | 8 | -5.3 | 2 | 29 |
| MID OFF-ROLE | Weak3n | Ra | 1 | 7 | 9 | 131 | -8.1 | 123 | 143 |
| SOLO NEW | SSaiyanBlu | Achilles | 6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | -2.0 | -2 | 0 |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | Ganesha | 1 | 8 | 6 | -12 | -9.4 | -21 | 27 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | SSaiyanBlu | rookie | |
| ADC | Draiden | Gold I | Gold III PLACEMENT |
| MID | onetimemite5084 | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Jonhy0700 | Poo Poo II | Bronze III |
| SUPPORT | i cant read | Amber II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Boolougames | Gold III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Heat | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | Dog Shit III |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond I | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | Poo Poo III | Poo Poo I |
What changed vs actual draft
- onetimemite5084: ORDER SOLO → ORDER MID
- Draiden: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER ADC
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- i cant read: CHAOS ADC → ORDER SUPPORT
- SSaiyanBlu: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER JUNGLE
- RogueThrone: ORDER ADC → CHAOS MID
- Boolougames: ORDER MID → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Heat: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS ADC
- Weak3n: CHAOS MID → CHAOS SOLO