04/16/2026 · Match #3 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by TTMara on 4/25/2026, 7:36:53 PM
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 28:19
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2749829322?t=1h41m56s @ 6116s
Balance Analysis
Based on 10 prior matchesORDER
50% win prob
Δ 2
Balanced
CHAOS
50% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Poo Poo I
JUNGLE
Amber II PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 2 · 50% favored
Kryooo
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber II PLACEMENT
ADC
OSteg
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 9 · 51% favored
RogueThrone
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
sillyslother
OVR
Bronze I PLACEMENT
MID
Bronze III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 17 · 53% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Dog Shit I
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Ohta
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 2 · 50% favored
Horrify
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
ELLEONTTV
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 0 · 50% favored
KingSaber
OVR
Bronze II PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +29.8
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Amaterasu | 8 | 4 | 19 | -4 | +8.5 | 4 | 10 |
| ADC SECONDARY | OSteg | Cupid | 8 | 5 | 13 | -9 | +5.3 | -3 | 8 |
| MID SECONDARY | sillyslother | Ra | 8 | 3 | 9 | 29 | +7.4 | 37 | 4 |
| SOLO NEW | Ohta | Gilgamesh | 2 | 8 | 12 | 0 | +2.6 | 3 | 0 |
| SUPPORT NEW | ELLEONTTV C | Yemoja | 6 | 6 | 17 | 0 | +6.0 | 6 | 0 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -29.8
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Kryooo TOP DMG | Susano | 10 | 8 | 6 | 6 | -4.4 | 1 | 6 |
| ADC | RogueThrone | Hou Yi | 3 | 8 | 5 | -13 | -9.6 | -23 | 4 |
| MID | Jonhy0700 C | Discordia | 0 | 4 | 9 | -16 | -4.5 | -21 | 10 |
| SOLO NEW | Horrify | Thanatos | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | -5.9 | -4 | 1 |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | KingSaber | Sobek | 6 | 7 | 6 | 28 | -5.3 | 23 | 6 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Poo Poo I | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| ADC | KingSaber | Bronze II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Ohta | rookie | |
| SOLO | RogueThrone | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Horrify | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Kryooo | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| ADC | sillyslother | Bronze I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | Dog Shit I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | ELLEONTTV | rookie | |
| SUPPORT | OSteg | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Ohta: ORDER SOLO → ORDER MID
- RogueThrone: CHAOS ADC → ORDER SOLO
- Horrify: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SUPPORT
- KingSaber: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER ADC
- ELLEONTTV: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS SOLO
- sillyslother: ORDER MID → CHAOS ADC
- OSteg: ORDER ADC → CHAOS SUPPORT