04/17/2026 · Match #16 · Conquest UNCONFIRMED
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2749829322?t=1h41m56s @ 6116s
Balance Analysis
Based on 13 prior matchesORDER
51% win prob
Δ 4
Balanced
CHAOS
49% win prob
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +95.0
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Amaterasu | 8 | 4 | 19 | -22 | +21.5 | 0 | 13 |
| MID SECONDARY | sillyslother | Ra | 8 | 3 | 9 | 74 | +21.8 | 96 | 7 |
| SOLO NEW | Ohta | Gilgamesh | 2 | 8 | 12 | 0 | +13.7 | 14 | 0 |
| SUPPORT NEW | ELLEONTTV | Yemoja | 6 | 6 | 17 | 0 | +17.0 | 17 | 0 |
| ADC THIRD | OSteg | Cupid | 8 | 5 | 13 | 30 | +21.0 | 51 | 8 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -63.8
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADC SECONDARY | RogueThrone | Hou Yi | 3 | 8 | 5 | -22 | -11.4 | -33 | 6 |
| JUNGLE | Kryooo | Susano | 10 | 8 | 6 | 36 | -14.1 | 22 | 9 |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | KingSaber | Sobek | 6 | 7 | 6 | 58 | -10.1 | 48 | 8 |
| SOLO NEW | Horrify | Thanatos | 7 | 6 | 3 | 14 | -13.6 | 0 | 1 |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | Discordia | 0 | 4 | 9 | -25 | -14.5 | -39 | 12 |
Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
49% win prob
Δ 4
most balanced split
CHAOS
51% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Kryooo | 36 |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | -25 |
| SOLO | Horrify | 14 |
| SUPPORT | KingSaber | 58 |
| ADC | RogueThrone | -22 |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | -22 |
| MID | sillyslother | 74 |
| SOLO | Ohta | rookie |
| SUPPORT | ELLEONTTV | rookie |
| ADC | OSteg | 30 |
What changed vs actual draft
- Kryooo: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER JUNGLE
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID
- Horrify: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SOLO
- KingSaber: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SUPPORT
- RogueThrone: CHAOS ADC → ORDER ADC